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29 Mar, 10 > 4 Apr, 10
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15 Mar, 10 > 21 Mar, 10
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1 Mar, 10 > 7 Mar, 10
22 Feb, 10 > 28 Feb, 10
15 Feb, 10 > 21 Feb, 10
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18 Jan, 10 > 24 Jan, 10
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2 Nov, 09 > 8 Nov, 09
26 Oct, 09 > 1 Nov, 09
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28 Sep, 09 > 4 Oct, 09
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14 Sep, 09 > 20 Sep, 09
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2 Mar, 09 > 8 Mar, 09
23 Feb, 09 > 1 Mar, 09
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9 Feb, 09 > 15 Feb, 09
2 Feb, 09 > 8 Feb, 09
26 Jan, 09 > 1 Feb, 09
19 Jan, 09 > 25 Jan, 09
12 Jan, 09 > 18 Jan, 09
5 Jan, 09 > 11 Jan, 09
29 Dec, 08 > 4 Jan, 09

Leftovers
Sunday, 1 January 2012
The Left HATES it when facts get in the way of a good narrative
Topic: Media

Here's a quote from a December 6 report from NPR: "Since the beginning of the Obama administration, Republicans have escalated the use of the filibuster to historic levels and have blocked nearly 20 percent of Obama nominees. . . . "*   Alas, no fact-checking over at NPR, unless by "historic" you mean "nonexistant".  The truth is, at least as far as judicial nominees go, Bush faced much worse obstructionism.  Some useful facts from Ed Whelan at NRO Bench Memos:

  • Obama's has an 81% confirmation rate for appellate judges compared to Bush's 66% (oddly enough, for district court judges Bush did slightly better than Obama, but not by such a large margin).
  • There were no successful filibusters in 2009-2010 against Obama's appellate nominees.  In 2011, there were two (nominees Goodwin Liu and Caitlin Halligan).  In 2003 - Bush's third year in office - there were nine, with Democrats beating back "cloture" petitions 19 times. 

If anything, the Senate GOP needs to get tougher with Obama.


Posted by RWK at 01:47 EST
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Why Gubmint by Experts is a bad idea - illustrated
Topic: Economics
  The first, from Bloomberg, is something called the Citigroup "Economic Surprise Index."  (Not making that up, by the way.)  It shows the difference between what economists said was going to happen and what actually happened.  When the index is zero, the economists were correct.  The index doesn't hit zero a lot:
economic-surprise-index

The other interesting graph is from James Montier at GMO, and is even funnier.  This graphs the average estimate, from the experts, for the coming year's GDP against the actual GDP:

james-montier-economists

Of course, it isn't news to us -- or it shouldn't be -- that the consensus estimates of approved experts is often, maybe even mostly, wrong.  

But it always seems to take them by surprise.  

Why is that?


Posted by RWK at 01:29 EST
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Obama redraws the Laffer Curve
Topic: Economics
Scan_2011_12_12_13_29_47_096_001

Steve, the math is the math. You can’t lower rates and raise revenue, unless you’re getting revenue from someplace else. -President Obama on 60 Minutes


Posted by RWK at 01:17 EST
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The Knowledge System is broken
Topic: Economics

Those of you who hang around here occasionally know I'm a libertarian leaning Austrian.  One of Von Mises main points was his insistance on "the knowledge problem" - that gubmint can't POSSIBLY have the knowledge to correctly plan an eceonomy or, if it did, would be unable to do so.  So it was with great relish (and a little mustard on the side) that I read a recent article by Hernando De Soto in <gasp> the New York Times,

intro:

Here we are, three years into the global financial crisis, and we’re still flying blind. We don’t even know what we don’t know. What we do know is that we’re stuck in a huge contraction of private credit; no one is making enough loans and investments to expand or start businesses and get the economy growing. The remedies applied by U.S. and European governments tried to treat the symptoms — bad debts, shaky banks, floundering businesses, people losing their homes, rising unemployment, currency wars — and not the disease.

Had those symptoms been the real cause of the crisis, “vulture capitalists” should have swept in by now. They should have spotted the signals that send knowledge of who is in trouble and — following the laws of supply and demand — picked up on the cheap the potentially lucrative remains of the nonperforming assets and transactions, correcting the deficiencies that led to them.

go read the whole thing.  It won't make you feel better.  That's the idea.

 


Posted by RWK at 01:16 EST
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Saturday, 31 December 2011
THIS explains why I didn't get that Red Ryder BB Gun!
Topic: Economics

Overseas Americans are not exactly happy that federal law is making their lives so miserable, so I’m not surprised that they seem to be the ones who put together this great parody.

===========================================================

U.S. Federal agents arrested Santa Claus earlier today at the North Pole.

Composite Sketch of Suspect

The United States Department of Fish and Wildlife has arrested Santa Claus, an elusive figure with many aliases (e.g., St. Nicholas).  On the morning of 24 December, 150 heavily armed Fish and Wildlife special agents raided Claus’ North Pole compound, seized several tons of exotic woods forbidden by the Lacey Act, arrested Santa Claus and a female accomplice identified only as Mrs. Claus, and liberated thousands of diminutive slave labourers known only as “Elves”.

Claus has been charged with multiple counts of money laundering, illegal exportation of currency, illegally importing into the United States toys made of contraband–rare woods, ivory and other banned substances.  He has also been charged with violations of slave labor and child labor laws, hundreds of patent and trademark violations, and illegally entering and exiting the United States.

Indeed, Fish and Wildlife agents also seized an unidentified aircraft called a “sleigh” which had numerous secret compartments holding the contraband.   Fish and Wildlife agents charged Mr. Claus with animal cruelty with regard to the caribou that he used to launch this “sleigh”.

Agent Smith

Special Agent Hugo Smith said, “We arrived just in the nick of time.  A moment later, and the caribou would have launched the sleigh and Claus would have escaped with the illegal materials.  By now, he would be in the United States, breaking into people’s houses and selling this stuff.”

The United States Department of Immigration and the Internal Revenue Service have also had their eyes on Mr. Claus.  An immigration official who also attended the raid said that they were able to obtain several dozen passports.  He said, “It seems that this Santa Claus character has a different name in every country–his EU passport says, ‘Father Christmas’ and his Canadian passport says, ‘Père Noël’.  We have, however, determined with certainty that Santa Claus is a United States citizen.”

Apparently Claus worked in Hollywood during the 1940s and 50s making autobiographical films, such as Miracle on 34th Street.  During that time he applied for and received  U.S. citizenship.

Douglas Shulman, Commissioner of the IRS, has released the following statement:

IRS Commissioner

At long last, the notorious tax cheat, Santa Claus, has been apprehended.  He has been living in a foreign country for the last 50 years and during that time he has not filed his US taxes even once.  It has become clear, however, that he has run a lucrative business at the North Pole and has never reported any of the income.  In addition to criminal tax evasion, we intend to charge Santa Claus with 190 counts of criminal failure to file Foreign Bank Account Reports (FBAR), as we found evidence in his papers that he is operating or has signing authority on bank accounts in 190 different countries.  It is our contention that the fines alone could help us bring billions in revenue into the United States government.

Pleased to Nab a Tax Cheat

According to United States law, all United States Citizens are required to pay taxes to the IRS and to report any foreign bank accounts.  Failure to obey these filing requirements may result in civil and criminal penalties including imprisonment.

The Obama administration declared that they were very pleased with the news..  ”It is about time,” Obama said from his Hawaiian retreat, “that the United States returned those who have fled the country just because they don’t feel like paying their fair share anymore.”

The Republican candidate for president, Ron Paul criticized the raid, “The United States has neither the authority nor the right to go into another country and enforce its laws.  Santa Claus is a citizen of the North Pole and it is overreach for us to go there and arrest him.”

Also running for president, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich responded to Paul, “The United States must reserve the right to arrest terrorists and to violate the rule of law in order to provide safety for the People of the United States.”

Prime Minister Stephen Harper of Canada said that his government did everything that they could to help the United States, even to the point of allowing the use of Canadian air space.  ”We are cooperating with the good faith efforts of the United States to eliminate terrorists in order to maintain the safety and security of all Canadians.”


Posted by RWK at 20:39 EST
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Hope and Change
Topic: Economics

or .... going downhill fast and unable to stop.

 

More GM recalls. “New GM Success Watch! The new, bailed-out, supposedly chastened but still UAW-organized General Motors is recalling 4,000 of its new small Sonics because of a potential brake defect. It’s not that a few of the car’s brake pads might malfunction. It’s that they forgot to put them on! Yikes. … P.S.: At least there’s been no UAW-management strife at the Orion Township plant that makes the Sonic, so we can rule that out. … Oh, wait. …”

 


Posted by RWK at 16:15 EST
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Friday, 30 December 2011
Apologies

it seems I jumped the gun with my optimism regarding the bulb ban.

GOP Fail: Light Bulb Ban Still Set for January 1st


Posted by RWK at 12:49 EST
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All your base are belong to us - QOTD edition
Topic: Economics

Elizabeth Warren was not saying anything new.

Striking examples of such views may be found in the recently published book by Burton Folsom and Anita Folsom, FDR Goes to War. There the Folsoms present a meaty discussion of the congressional debate that occurred in 1943 in regard to bills eventually enacted in compromise form as the Current Tax Payment Act of 1943—the statute that, among other things, established income-tax withholding at the source. In that debate, the following statements were made in Congress:

Rep. Emanuel Celler (D-N.Y.)—The government can at any time make income taxes as thumping big as the necessities of war require. Thus, if any plan does not raise enough money, taxes can at any time be increased. The government always has a moral if not actual lien on all our income. (p. 200, emphasis added)

Sen. Happy Chandler (D-Ky.)—[A]ll of us owe the government; we owe it for everything we have—and that is the basis of obligation—and the government can take everything we have if the government needs it. . . . The government can assert its right to have all the taxes it needs for any purpose, either now or at any time in the future. (p. 200, emphasis added)

Rep. Wilbur Mills (D-Ark.)—The public, with money in its pockets, will inevitably try to use this money to buy what it wants, what it may need. . . . [T]o check the forces making for inflation, we must direct our tax policy toward diverting an ever larger part of the funds of persons above subsistence levels into the Public Treasury. (p. 201, emphasis added)

So, lighten up, small-government friends. Be grateful that you must contend only with Warren, and not with the likes of Celler, Chandler, and Mills. Maybe there is progress after all.

 


Posted by RWK at 12:31 EST
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Hunting the Unicorn
Topic: Economics

Forbes has done a nice job bringing down Dingy Harry's whopper.

Here's the Q&D:

Reid said

“Millionaire job creators are like unicorns. They’re impossible to find, and they don’t exist… Only a tiny fraction of people making more than a million dollars, probably less than 1 percent, are small business owners. And only a tiny fraction of that tiny fraction are traditional job creators…Most of these businesses are hedge fund managers or wealthy lawyers. They don’t do much hiring and they don’t need tax breaks.”

Taking their cue, National Public Radio launched a search for one millionaire job creator. They triumphantly announced:

“NPR requested help from numerous Republican congressional offices, including House and Senate leadership. They were unable to produce a single millionaire job creator for us to interview.”

And now the math:

236,883 tax files with income of over $1 million.  Reid sez a "small %".  Is 5% small enough?  That leaves 236,765.  

Reid sez they're lawyers and hedge fund managers.  Actually only 16k are.  Down to 236, 867.  And according to Reid they bring in $221 BILLION dollars on there own - without hiring anyone!

 Really, Harry?  REALLY?

 

 

 


Posted by RWK at 12:03 EST
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Thursday, 29 December 2011
Just an end of the year reminder
Topic: Economics


Posted by RWK at 18:09 EST
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