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ALMOST three months after Michel Martelly took office as president, Haitis political affairs are still in limbo. The countrys parliament this week again refused to accept his nominee for prime minister, a prerequisite for a new government to be sworn in. Acting ministers, held over from the previous government, have not been to a cabinet meeting in three months, and are able to handle only day-to-day payments.
Haiti, the poorest country in the
Americas, can ill afford this gridlock: decisions are needed to
speed recovery from the devastating earthquake of January 2010,
the hurricane season is entering its peak and children are due
to go back to school next month. International officials responsible
for the $10.2 billion in aid pledged after the earthquake are
wringing their hands.
Haiti has been down this road before, with disastrous results.
It went without a prime minister from June 1997 to March 1999.
René Préval, the president then (and again from
2006 until this year) dissolved parliament in January 1999 and
ruled by decree until elections the next year. Donors froze aid.
This time the root of the deadlock lies in part in the flawed general election of last November, which featured chaos and widespread claims of fraud; only 1.1m of a potential electorate of 4.7m managed to cast their votes. Mr Martelly only got on to the ballot for a presidential run-off, held in March, after the Organisation of American States and other outsiders stepped in and forced a recount in which he was found to have more votes than Mr Prévals candidate. He won 68% in the run-off (but only 23% of the electorate voted).
Mr Martelly is a political novice.
He was once known to Haitians merely as Sweet Micky,
a popular singer with a reputation for bawdy stage antics. His
foes point to his past ties to some unsavoury figures such as
Michel François, a much-feared police chief accused of
drug trafficking who was a key figure in a military coup in 1991
that overthrew Jean-Bertrand Aristide, a left-wing president.
Mr Martellys supporters say that in those days such links
were the price for being allowed to perform.
He was elected on a promise to break with the political instability
and corruption that has dogged the country since the end of the
Duvalier dictatorship in 1986. But in the parliament it is Mr
Prévals allies who dominate. Mr Martelly has not
shown himself to be a builder of consensusa necessity given
his lack of support in the legislature. He doesnt
understand cohabitation and he should realise that we were elected,
too, says Simon Desras, a senator. Mr Martellys first
choice for prime minister was a successful businessman and fervent
Catholic. When he was rejected the president proposed Bernard
Gousse, a former justice minister who used the job to persecute
political opponents, including some current legislators. Mr Gousse
was rejected by the Senate this week.
Perhaps because of his experience as a stage performer, Mr Martelly has hitherto gone down well with ordinary Haitians. But he faced his first protest in late July: he was pelted with plastic bottles and stones on a visit to Cap Haïtien, the countrys second city. He reacted by ordering an investigation into what he claimed was a plot to kill him. His friends say that while he is hard-working and a good listener, he is still adjusting to the demands of governing. Sweet Micky should let Michel Martelly be the president, says one of them.
Many worry that the vacuum could prompt unrest after four years of relative calm. UN peacekeepers have mounted raids in some of the rougher slums in Port-au-Prince, the capital, to keep criminal gangs in check. Another fear is donor fatigue. Only about a third of the $5.6 billion pledged at a donors conference more than a year ago has been disbursed. About 600,000 earthquake victims are still living in tent camps. Mounds of rubble have yet to be removed from the capitals streets. The amount of debris still littering the streets could fill 8,000 Olympic-sized swimming pools, the UN Development Programme reported recently.
Some of those still in the tent cities see them as a better option than renting. And a lot of rubble has been cleared. By laying waste to much of the capital, the quake exacerbated Haitis pre-existing weakness of government capacity and infrastructure, points out Josef Leitmann, who manages the World Banks Haiti Reconstruction Fund. So Haiti has also fallen victim to exaggerated expectations Mr Martelly is working on a plan to shift the residents of six of the camps to new housing. But he will need to move fast. The patience of Haitians is not infinite, and neither is that of Haitis financial backers.