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Sunday, 27 May 2007
Reality Via Day By Day
It would be nice if the following were reality, but not likely under the present circumstances.

Technorati Tag:****** ***

Tracked to
OTA Weekend at The Crazy Rants of Samantha Burns


Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 2:52 AM CDT
| Post Comment | Permalink | Share This Post
Updated: Sunday, 27 May 2007 5:22 AM CDT
Wednesday, 23 May 2007
If You Go Outside And Spit
Topic: Global Warming
You will have the same effect on the Climate as doubling carbon dioxide.

At least according to Reid A. Bryson who holds the 30th PhD in Meteorology granted in the history of American education. Emeritus Professor and founding chairman of the University of Wisconsin Department of Meteorology?now the Department of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences.

There is a very interesting article on this to be found in the May 23rd issue of the


The Faithful Heretic

A Wisconsin
Icon Pursues Tough Questions

Some people are lucky enough to enjoy their
work, some are lucky enough to love it, and then there’s
Reid Bryson. At age 86, he’s still hard at it every day,
delving into the science some say he invented.

Reid A. Bryson holds the 30th PhD in Meteorology
granted in the history of American education. Emeritus Professor
and founding chairman of the University of Wisconsin Department
of Meteorology—now the Department of Oceanic and Atmospheric
Sciences—in the 1970s he became the first director of
what’s now the UW’s Gaylord Nelson Institute of
Environmental Studies. He’s a member of the United Nations
Global 500 Roll of Honor—created, the U.N. says, to recognize
“outstanding achievements in the protection and improvement
of the environment.” He has authored five books and more
than 230 other publications and was identified by the British
Institute of Geographers as the most frequently cited climatologist
in the world.

Long ago in the Army Air Corps, Bryson and
a colleague prepared the aviation weather forecast that predicted
discovery of the jet stream by a group of B-29s flying to and
from Tokyo. Their warning to expect westerly winds at 168 knots
earned Bryson and his friend a chewing out from a general—and
the general’s apology the next day when he learned they
were right. Bryson flew into a couple of typhoons in 1944, three
years before the Weather Service officially did such things,
and he prepared the forecast for the homeward flight of the
Enola Gay. Back in Wisconsin, he built a program at the UW that’s
trained some of the nation’s leading climatologists.

How Little We Know

Bryson is a believer in climate change, in
that he’s as quick as anyone to acknowledge that Earth’s
climate has done nothing but change throughout the planet’s
existence. In fact, he took that knowledge a big step further,
earlier than probably anyone else. Almost 40 years ago, Bryson
stood before the American Association for the Advancement of
Science and presented a paper saying human activity could alter

“I was laughed off the platform for saying
that,” he told Wisconsin Energy Cooperative News.

In the 1960s, Bryson’s idea was widely
considered a radical proposition. But nowadays things have turned
almost in the opposite direction: Hardly a day passes without
some authority figure claiming that whatever the climate happens
to be doing, human activity must be part of the explanation.
And once again, Bryson is challenging the conventional wisdom.

“Climate’s always been changing
and it’s been changing rapidly at various times, and so
something was making it change in the past,” he told us
in an interview this past winter. “Before there were enough
people to make any difference at all, two million years ago,
nobody was changing the climate, yet the climate was changing,

“All this argument is the temperature
going up or not, it’s absurd,” Bryson continues.
“Of course it’s going up. It has gone up since the
early 1800s, before the Industrial Revolution, because we’re
coming out of the Little Ice Age, not because we’re putting
more carbon dioxide into the air.”

Little Ice Age? That’s what chased the
Vikings out of Greenland after they’d farmed there for
a few hundred years during the Mediaeval Warm Period, an earlier
run of a few centuries when the planet was very likely warmer
than it is now, without any help from industrial activity in
making it that way. What’s called “proxy evidence”—assorted
clues extrapolated from marine sediment cores, pollen specimens,
and tree-ring data—helps reconstruct the climate in those
times before instrumental temperature records existed.

We ask about that evidence, but Bryson says
it’s second-tier stuff. “Don’t talk about
proxies,” he says. “We have written evidence, eyeball
evidence. When Eric the Red went to Greenland, how did he get
there? It’s all written down.”

Bryson describes the navigational instructions
provided for Norse mariners making their way from Europe to
their settlements in Greenland. The place was named for a reason:
The Norse farmed there from the 10th century to the 13th, a
somewhat longer period than the United States has existed. But
around 1200 the mariners’ instructions changed in a big
way. Ice became a major navigational reference. Today, old Viking
farmsteads are covered by glaciers.

Bryson mentions the retreat of Alpine glaciers,
common grist for current headlines. “What do they find
when the ice sheets retreat, in the Alps?”

We recall the two-year-old report saying a
mature forest and agricultural water-management structures had
been discovered emerging from the ice, seeing sunlight for the
first time in thousands of years. Bryson interrupts excitedly.

“A silver mine! The guys had stacked
up their tools because they were going to be back the next spring
to mine more silver, only the snow never went,” he says.
“There used to be less ice than now. It’s just getting
back to normal.”

What Leads, What Follows?

What is normal? Maybe continuous change is
the only thing that qualifies. There’s been warming over
the past 150 years and even though it’s less than one
degree, Celsius, something had to cause it. The usual suspect
is the “greenhouse effect,” various atmospheric
gases trapping solar energy, preventing it being reflected back
into space.

We ask Bryson what could be making the key

Q: Could you rank the things
that have the most significant impact and where would you put
carbon dioxide on the list?

A: Well let me give you one
fact first. In the first 30 feet of the atmosphere, on the average,
outward radiation from the Earth, which is what CO2 is supposed
to affect, how much [of the reflected energy] is absorbed by
water vapor? In the first 30 feet, 80 percent, okay?

Q: Eighty percent of the
heat radiated back from the surface is absorbed in the first
30 feet by water vapor…

A: And how much is absorbed
by carbon dioxide? Eight hundredths of one percent. One one-thousandth
as important as water vapor. You can go outside and spit and
have the same effect as doubling carbon dioxide.

This begs questions about the widely publicized
mathematical models researchers run through supercomputers to
generate climate scenarios 50 or 100 years in the future. Bryson
says the data fed into the computers overemphasizes carbon dioxide
and accounts poorly for the effects of clouds—water vapor.
Asked to evaluate the models’ long-range predictive ability,
he answers with another question: “Do you believe a five-day

Bryson says he looks in the opposite direction,
at past climate conditions, for clues to future climate behavior.
Trying that approach in the weeks following our interview, Wisconsin
Energy Cooperative News soon found six separate papers about
Antarctic ice core studies, published in peer-reviewed scientific
journals between 1999 and 2006. The ice core data allowed researchers
to examine multiple climate changes reaching back over the past
650,000 years. All six studies found atmospheric carbon dioxide
concentrations tracking closely with temperatures, but with
CO2 lagging behind changes in temperature, rather than leading
them. The time lag between temperatures moving up—or down—and
carbon dioxide following ranged from a few hundred to a few
thousand years.

Renaissance Man, Marathon Man

When others were laughing at the concept, Reid
Bryson was laying the ground floor for scientific investigation
of human impacts on climate. We asked UW Professor Ed Hopkins,
the assistant state climatologist, about the significance of
Bryson’s work in advancing the science he’s now
practiced for six decades.

“His contributions are manifold,”
Hopkins said. “He wrote Climates of Hunger back in the
1970s looking at how climate changes over the last several thousand
years have affected human activity and human cultures.”

This, he suggests, is traceable to Bryson’s
high-school interest in archaeology, followed by college degrees
in geology, then meteorology, and studies in oceanography, limnology,
and other disciplines. “He’s looked at the interconnections
of all these things and their impact on human societies,”
Hopkins says. “He’s one of those people I would
say is a Renaissance person.”

The Renaissance, of course, produced its share
of heretics, and 21 years after he supposedly retired, one could
ponder whether Bryson’s work today is a tale of continuing
heresy, or of conventional wisdom being outpaced by an octogenarian.

Without addressing—or being asked—that
question, UW Green Bay Emeritus Professor Joseph Moran agrees
that Bryson qualifies as “the father of the science of
modern climatology.”

“In his lifetime, in his career, he has
shaped the future as well as the present state of climatology,”
Moran says, adding, “We’re going to see his legacy
with us for many generations to come.”

Holding bachelor’s and master’s
degrees from Boston College, Moran became a doctoral candidate
under Bryson in the late 1960s and early ’70s. “I
came to Wisconsin because he was there,” Moran told us.

With Hopkins, Moran co-authored Wisconsin’s
Weather and Climate, a book aimed at teachers, students, outdoor
enthusiasts, and workers with a need to understand what the
weather does and why. Bryson wrote a preface for the book but
Hopkins told us the editors “couldn’t fathom”
certain comments, thinking he was being too flippant with the
remark that “Wisconsin is not for wimps when it comes
to weather.”

Clearly what those editors couldn’t
fathom was that Bryson simply enjoys mulling over the reasons
weather and climate behave as they do and what might make them—and
consequently us—behave differently. This was immediately
obvious when we asked him why, at his age, he keeps showing
up for work at a job he’s no longer paid to do.

“It’s fun!” he said. Ed Hopkins
and Joe Moran would undoubtedly agree.

“I think that’s one of the reasons
for his longevity,” Moran says. “He’s so interested
and inquisitive. I regard him as a pot-stirrer. Sometimes people
don’t react well when you challenge their long-held ideas,
but that’s how real science takes place.”—Dave

Myself I have a terrible confession to make, if spitting has the same effect as doubling Carbon Dioxide then I have done far worse damage to the Climate in the past camping, with another means of emitting fluids!

I expect the arrival at any time of our present day Neo-Luddites in full hue and cry

Death to the Carbon Despoilers!

Technorati Tag:****** *** ***

Tracked to
OTA Wednesday at The Crazy Rants of Samantha Burns


Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 5:34 AM CDT
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Updated: Wednesday, 23 May 2007 6:11 AM CDT
Monday, 21 May 2007
The Open Trackback Alliance LXXIV
UPDATE: Denmark Exports Soaring
After blogger Judith Klinghoffer and an army of Davids declared a "Buy Danish" campaign to combat the Muslim boycott. The Guardian says "fervent rightwing Americans" participated in the buying spree and implies that the cartoonists were responsible for the deaths of 139 people.(like it was the cartoonists who killed those people instead of the ones who shed their blood, how like the Progressive TransNazi viewpoint)

For your listening pleasure while you browse

"Der er et yndigt land" (There Is A Lovely Land)

Words by: Adam Gottlob Oehlenschlager
Music by: Hans Ernst Kr?yer
Adopted: 1844

"Derer et yndigt land" was first performed for a large gathering of Danes in 1844, and became popular quickly with the Danish people. It was adopted later that year by the Danish government as a national anthem, but not the sole national anthem. This anthem is on equal status with "Kong Christian",which is both the national and royal anthem.

When the Danish anthem is usually performed or sung, the first verse is played in its entirety, then it is followed by the last four lines of the last verse. (This is true whether the lyrics are sung or not

Recently I have been posting music to Illustrate the Diversity of America, this week I have a different motive to express Solidarity with DENMARK

I maintain my Support of Denmark, and will later today, post links to and my thoughts about a Danish Editorial "We are being pissed upon by Per Nyholm "

I think I shall title my Post, "There is no "But" in "Freedom of Speech".

When I first started upon my journey through the blogverse I created a
Statement of Purpose
Now upon reading it, one can realize that I did not hold to every detail of that original statement, but from it's basic premise, I have never swayed, in my belief that the Blogs are in fact the Committees of Correspondence of the Second American Revolution.

And that it is a Revolution of Information, no longer can we afford and allow elite gateways to control what we can see, hear and discuss.

For I believe that those bloggers who find their way, here and in particular from the Blogs associated with Sam.


Some of us are more Serious, some of us are more lighthearted and some post the common ordinary things that make one smile and recall that Life without the simple things to treasure is meaningless.

And it is important that all have a platform from which to speak.

As I understand this process you can link to this post and trackback to this post on ANY subject or post you think important. It is open. I will repeat this every Monday.

The Committees of Correspondence welcomes your intelligent comments. And also welcomes you to join the


This week I also have shortened my usual introduction for a more important message.

In it's struggle for Freedom of Speech.

Sign the Petition NOW!

JEG opstille hos Danmark!

49637 Total Signatures 12:46 AM CDT April 23, 2007 We can do better pass the word~!

From Agora a call to Support the Manifesto online by signing another Petition, why not sign both?

MANIFESTO: Together facing the new totalitarianism
Created by Mark Jefferson on March 1st, 2006 at 5:42 pm AST

After having overcome fascism, Nazism, and Stalinism, the world now faces a new totalitarian global threat: Islamism.
We, writers, journalists, intellectuals, call for resistance to religious totalitarianism and for the promotion of freedom, equal opportunity and secular values for all. "

Open Trackback Alliance

Blogs that Trackback to this Post:

Bush Acknowledges Concern on Immigration from The Amboy Times
In Support of Our Military - a Charity from DeMediacratic Nation
Tips for Dining Out from Here's looking at . . . me!
Lebanon, Syrian Missile Purchase and Iran's Percen from DeMediacratic Nation
There ought to be a law... from Perri Nelson's Website
Iraq Surge is Costing the Soldiers Sleep from Blue Star Chronicles
The Eyes of Our Soldiers from Blue Star Chronicles
Gay Pink Flamingos Adopt Chick from Adeline and Ha
Dance on his Grave from Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracker
UN Condemns Lebanon for Disproportionate Response from Planck's Constant
Palm Trees, Palapas and Pina Coladas - No Politics from Maggie's Notebook
The Politicians Don't Get It On Immigration from Adam's Blog
Federal Judge Blocks Texas Immigration Law from Big Dogs Weblog
ABC News pushes for military strike on Iran from Mark My Words

Tracked to
Linkfest Haven, the Blogger's Oasis

Y'al come back now, Y'heah? ;-)
Technorati Tag:*********


Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 12:01 AM CDT
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Updated: Wednesday, 23 May 2007 3:36 AM CDT
Friday, 18 May 2007
Palestinians Shoot 15 Human Shields
From IRIS Blog to my email inbox to you.

200 Gaza residents decided their "human shield"tactics worked so well against the Israelis, they would try it to stop the shooting between rival terrorists in Gaza:

"Just as we used to protect you from the occupation by acting as human shields, we have come to protect you from yourselves," one protester shouted at gunmen, referring to instances when Palestinian civilians positioned themselves between militants and Israeli forces.

The gunmen used it as an opportunity to refine their technical skills, injuring approximately 15 of them.

See also: Gaza City: "A City of Corpses and Ghosts"

"Even during the Israeli occupation the situation wasn't this terrible," says Um Mohammed, praying for an end to the lethal Palestinian infighting raging outside her Gaza City home. Fear reigns throughout the city, deserted but for prowling groups of armed men, loyal to rivals Hamas or Fatah, living on a daily diet of ambushes, kidnappings and assassinations. Dozens of snipers on the rooftops of the tallest buildings open fire seemingly on anything that moves. "We can't go near the window, let alone on the balcony. We have all become targets," says Um Mohammed. "This is a city of corpses and ghosts."

See also: AP Reporter in Gaza: "This Is the Worst It's Been"

On Wednesday, I saw several people shot in front of my building, I heard the screams of terrified women and children in a burning building, and I argued with gunmen who tried to take over my home. I have seen a lot in my years as a journalist in Gaza, but this is the worst it's been.

Smoke rises from a residential building after it was attacked by Hamas militants in Gaza City, Wednesday, May 16, 2007. Hamas gunmen shot dead six bodyguards from the rival Fatah movement on Wednesday and mistakenly ambushed a jeep carrying their own fighters, killing five of them, in the bloodiest day of Palestinian infighting since violence erupted in the Gaza Strip four days ago. (AP Photo/Adel Hana)

Photo Credit: AP Photo
Technorati Tag:***

Tracked to
OTA Weekend at The Crazy Rants of Samantha Burns


Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 11:23 PM CDT
| Post Comment | Permalink | Share This Post
Updated: Friday, 18 May 2007 11:58 PM CDT
Thursday, 17 May 2007
Behind The Curtain
Topic: Islamic Jihad

The Terrorism Warning Process: A Look behind the Curtain

By Fred Burton

U.S. and German officials fear terrorists are in
the advanced planning stages of an attack against U.S. military personnel or
tourists in Germany, ABC News reported May 11. The report followed the
issuance of a Warden Message by the U.S. Embassy in Berlin on April 20
announcing that U.S. diplomatic and consular facilities in Germany were
increasing their security posture in response to a heightened threat
situation. The message, which remains in effect, also encouraged Americans in
Germany to increase their vigilance and take appropriate steps to bolster
their own personal security. Continuing chatter from a number of sources
indicates the threat is real.

The warning comes as no surprise. Like
much of Europe, Germany has a large Muslim population, and within that
population is a small but dedicated radical element. It was in Germany where
a diverse group of Muslim students from various countries was radicalized and
later organized into the "Hamburg Cell." Members of the cell, including
Mohamed Atta and Ramzi Binalshibh, would go on to attend al Qaeda training
camps in Afghanistan, where they were selected to form the nucleus for al
Qaeda's 9/11 operation. Even after the Hamburg Cell was dismantled, the
jihadist network in Germany has remained active

in publishing Internet propaganda and recruiting and sending young Muslim men
to fight in places like Iraq.

Additionally, jihadists left two timed
incendiary devices on trains

in the German towns of Dortmund and Koblenz on July 31, 2006. The group
allegedly responsible for the attack comprised mainly Lebanese Muslims living
in Germany, who reportedly had been incensed over the Prophet Mohammed cartooncontroversy

German prosecutors have alleged that the men charged in
connection with the attack were also radicalized after arriving in Germany.
In many ways, then, Germany is facing the same tactical

as the United Kingdom and other countries in that it faces a
threat from homegrown militants as well as from professional al Qaeda

The warning in Germany, however, does provide an
opportunity to draw back the curtain on the U.S. terrorism warning process --
to examine what drives it, why it sometimes works and why it sometimes does

Reasons for Warnings

The U.S. government issues
public warnings for a number of reasons. One of these, of course, is genuine
concern for the welfare of U.S. citizens. A second reason (although perhaps
not the second in priority for some officials) is simple bureaucratic
butt-covering. The last thing a government official wants to do is to end up
before a congressional committee or a governmental accountability review
board and answer pointed questions about why he or she had threat information
that was not shared with the American public.

Indeed, following the
bombing of Pan American flight 103, an investigation conducted by the
President's Commission on Aviation Security and Terrorism discovered that the
U.S. Embassy in Helsinki, Finland, received a threat Dec. 5, 1988, stating
that "sometime within the next two weeks" a bomb would be placed on a Pan
American flight flying from Frankfurt to the United States. The committee
found that this threat information had been selectively distributed by the
Federal Aviation Administration and the U.S. Department of State, giving rise
to the charge of a double standard in the authorities' choice to warn
traveling government employees but not the general public.

receiving the commission's report, the U.S. Congress passed The Aviation
Security Improvement Act of 1990, which said civil aviation threats could not
be passed along only to selected travelers unless the threat applied only to
those travelers. The Bush administration expanded on that legal precedent to
include the dissemination of all threat information, establishing what
is now commonly referred to in the counterterrorism community as the "no
double-standard policy." This policy requires that threats be disseminated to
the public in addition to government employees.

The "no
double-standard" policy was intended to be applied to timely, credible,
corroborated and specific threats. Over time, however, it has been applied to
almost any and every threat. Bureaucratic butt-covering inevitably leads to
this type of overreaction because nobody wants to be caught not sharing
information after the fact, or being accused of making a bad analytical
assessment of the threat. Therefore, nearly everything is reported,
regardless of its veracity. Obviously, this type of overreaction leads to the
release of many more alerts -- many of which are not well-founded. This leads
to alert

Warnings also can be issued in an effort to pre-empt an
attack. In cases in which authorities have intelligence that a plot is in the
works, but the information is insufficient to identify the plotters or make
arrests, announcing that a plot has been uncovered and security has been
increased is seen as a way to discourage a planned attack. In practical
applications, however, this does not always work.

Although it might
seem logical that militants would abort an operation in the works once a
warning is issued, history has shown otherwise. In the Dec. 6, 2005, attack
against the U.S. Consulate in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, for example, the
perpetrators not only continued their operation despite the issuance of a
warning, but also despite a government operation that resulted in the disruption

of a second cell that was supposed to participate in the attack. Several
other attacks also were preceded by warnings or security alerts, including
the failed July
21, 2005
BR>London subway attack, which occurred while the city remained
under a heightened alert following the bombings

two weeks earlier.

Sources of Warnings

The intelligence
that leads to a warning can come from a variety of places. Sometimes the
warning is spawned by good, hard intelligence from a technical or human
source. Other times it can be a tidbit picked up after the arrest of a
suspect, such as the warnings in 2004 of the plot to attack financial targets
in the United States that followed the arrest of Mohammad
Naeem Noor Khan

in Pakistan.

Threat intelligence also often
results from interrogating captured militant operatives, as was seen in the
raft of warnings that followed the September 2002 arrest and interrogation of
al Qaeda operational planner Khalid
Sheikh Mohammed
Threat information can even come from a previously
unknown source who walks into an agency and volunteers

The intelligence services of other countries also
will share information they have obtained with their U.S. counterparts --
though without direct access to the source, the U.S. agencies might find it
difficult to determine whether the information is credible and to obtain
additional information. Additionally, there are times when foreign liaison
services pass "threat" information as part of a political agenda, perhaps to
get a local insurgent group listed on the U.S. terrorism list -- or merely to
jerk the Americans around.

Of course, all intelligence can be
problematic. For one thing, there is the problem of fabricators,

human sources who concoct stories to sell to intelligence agencies for
financial gain. Quite often these fabricators base their stories on a thread
of truth that makes them appear genuine. During the early 1990s the U.S.
Embassy in Beirut was closed on several occasions due to the bogus and
exceedingly dire threat reports of a clever fabricator who milked the FBI for
tens of thousands of dollars.

Secondly, there is the problem of
disinformation, or information purposefully leaked by an organization to
mislead or confuse analysts. In retrospect, the great number of warnings of
pending attacks against U.S. and Israeli interests overseas before the 9/11
attacks -- during what the 9/11 Commission Report calls "The Summer of
Threat" -- might have been part of an al Qaeda disinformation plot to
distract U.S. attention from the group's real plans. Disinformation also can
be provided by terrorist suspects during their interrogations in an effort to
create red herrings and protect real operations that are under way. Such
disinformation attempts by militants also can be useful for pinging the system

in order to judge U.S. responses to threats. This also can
serve to help induce alert fatigue.

Another problem in intelligence
is misinterpretation. That is, receiving intelligence and indicators and then
drawing the wrong conclusions from them, or even misinterpreting an innocuous
item to be a critical item of intelligence. In a 2003 case, for instance, the
U.S. national threat level was raised from yellow to orange during the
holidays after a CIA analyst mistakenly claimed to have discovered a cache of
secret al Qaeda messages imbedded in the moving text at the bottom of the Al
Jazeera news channel. Though some have scoffed at the CIA over the case, the
potential blowback for not taking possible indicators seriously has caused
the intelligence community to err strongly on the side of caution in issuing
such alerts.

The Warning Track Record

Because of the
problems inherent in intelligence work, and the amount of bureaucratic
butt-covering going on because of the political environment, the historical
track record of warning messages has been mixed. Though the vast majority of
warnings have proven to be false alarms, at times and in some specific places
the warnings have been quite accurate. For example, on Feb. 15, 2006, the
U.S. Embassy in Manama, Bahrain, issued a Warden Message concerning the
threat of al Qaeda attacks in the region. The Australians issued a similar
warning six days later. On Feb. 24, al Qaeda's Saudi node attacked the Abqaiq

oil processing facility near Bahrain. In fact, there was a clearly
discernable pattern

in Saudi Arabia in 2004 in which a warning would be issued and then followed
shortly by an attack or raid that resulted in the arrest of militant

Another example is the
suicide attacks
in October 2005. The U.S. Embassy in Jakarta had been
warning about attacks against foreigners at soft targets in Indonesia since
spring 2005, and on Sept. 30, the day before the attacks, issued a Warden
Message warning against possible attacks in "? places where Americans and
other Westerners live, congregate, shop or visit, including hotels, clubs,
restaurants, shopping centers ?" The Oct. 1 attacks targeted restaurants.

The Israelis also have had good intelligence on jihadist threats in
the Sinai. In fact they issued a warning to Israeli citizens to avoid the
area prior to the October 2004 attack against the
in Taba.

This kind of intelligence penetration of al Qaeda
has occurred far more frequently at the local or regional level. It has been
far harder to penetrate the central core. Moreover, after certain
intelligence methods have been disclosed to the public -- such as monitoring
the satellite phone conversations of al Qaeda leaders -- those intelligence
sources that had provided insight into the activities of the core group have
dried up.

This intelligence penetration on the tactical level is
frequently short-lived because the type of access that provides the timely
and accurate intelligence needed to predict threats often is then used to
dismantle the organization. Jemaah Islamiyah in Indonesia, al Qaeda in the
Arabian Peninsula and the jihadists linked to al Qaeda in the Sinai --
regional nodes that were subjects of accurate threat reporting over the past
few years -- were all hammered hard by local security forces. Afterward,
though, the quality of the threat information dropped noticeably, with an
increasing spike in the number of false alarms.

For example, after
highly accurate threat reporting in Saudi Arabia in 2004 (and a string of
successful actions against al Qaeda by the Saudi government), a
of warnings in Saudi Arabia in 2005 about pending attacks against U.S.
government and commercial targets proved to be unfounded. The U.S. Embassy in
Riyadh was even closed for two days in August 2005 because of a threat that
did not materialize. A similar pattern was seen in Indonesia and the Sinai.

As long as there are attackers -- and bureaucrats concerned about
being grilled by Congress -- there will be terrorism threat warnings. The
difficulty will be deciphering which are bogus and which are based on timely,
accurate and specific intelligence.

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Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 9:47 AM CDT
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Updated: Friday, 18 May 2007 11:48 PM CDT
Monday, 14 May 2007
Turks rally against pro-Islamic leaders
Hat Tip Jihad Watch

By SUZAN FRASER, Associated Press Writer Sun May 13, 12:33 PM ET

IZMIR, Turkey - Choking the highways and crammed onto ferries, hundreds of thousands of Turks streamed into this port city on Sunday in an enormous show of opposition to the pro-Islamic ruling party, increasing pressure on the government ahead of early elections.

Some 1.5 million protesters carried anti-government banners, red-and-white Turkish flags and pictures of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, who founded the secular republic in 1923.

Turkish flags hung from balconies and windows, as well as buses and fishing boats and yachts bobbing in Izmir's bay

To Slide Show

Now Compare that with THIS

Streets of Seething ??

ISTANBUL, Turkey - Thousands of angry Turks burned an Israeli flag Friday and chanted “Murderer Israel, Get out of Palestine!” to protest Israel’s offensive into the Gaza Strip.

Hundreds of women, wearing black chadors or covering their heads with Islamic-style head scarves, carried Palestinian flags and banners which read: “Israel is burning Palestine.”

Police said about 5,000 people participated in the protest outside Istanbul’s Bayazid Mosque.

I wonder if CNN or others will be talking about the Seething Secular Street in Turkey tonight?

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Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 9:02 AM CDT
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Updated: Monday, 14 May 2007 9:17 AM CDT
Thursday, 10 May 2007
You Are Not Alone
Topic: Iraq War
Perhaps you have been sitting at home nights listening to the Talking Heads and the Democratic Leadership, telling you What Americans Want, and it is not what YOU want.

If this has been making you feel that you are alone and out of sinc with the rest of the Country, I have some good news for you.

It may not be true at all and the fact is that you are not alone.

I ran into some interesting details in Dr Sanity.

I have not heard anything like this on the News and I doubt that you have either.


Cliff May at The Corner has some recent poll results that are extremely interesting:

According to a recent USA Today/Gallup poll,61% of Americans oppose “denying the funding needed to send any additional U.S. troops to Iraq,” and opposition is up from 58% in February. (3/23-25, 2007).

A Bloomberg poll reveals 61% of Americans believe withholding funding for the war is a bad idea, while only 28% believe it is a good idea (3/3-11, 2007).

A recent Public Opinion Strategies (POS) poll found that 56% of registered voters favor fully funding the war in Iraq, with more voters strongly favoring funding (40%) than totally opposing it (38%); (3/25-27, 2007).

POS found also that a majority of voters (54%) oppose the Democrats imposing a reduction in troops below the level military commanders requested (3/25-27, 2007).

A separate POS poll finds 57% of voters support staying in Iraq until the job is finished and “the Iraqi government can maintain control and provide security for its people.” And 59% of voters say pulling out of Iraq immediately would do more to harm America’s reputation in the world than staying until order is restored (35%); (2/5-7, 2007).

A Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll show 69% of American voters trust military commanders more than members of Congress (18%) to decide when United States troops should leave Iraq. This includes 52% of Democrats, 69% of Independents and 88% of Republicans (3/27-28, 2007).

According to a recent Pew Research survey, only 17% of Americans want an immediate withdrawal of troops (4/18-22, 2007). That same poll found a plurality of adults (45%) believe a terrorist attack against the United States is more likely if we withdraw our troops from Iraq while the “country remains unstable”

Should a date for withdrawal be set, 70% of American believe it is likely that “insurgents will increase their attacks in Iraq” starting on that day. This is supported by 85% of Republicans, 71% of Independents and 60% of Democrats. (FOX News/Opinion Dynamics, 4/17-18, 2007).

An LA Times/Bloomberg polls reveals that 50% of Americans say setting a timetable for withdrawal of U.S. troops from Iraq “hurts” the troops, while only 27% believe it “helps” the troops (4/5-9, 2007

Feel better now? I know I do. Isn't it nice to know that MOST of America thinks like we do?

Remember when they tried to convince you how Scared you were?

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OTA Wednesday at The Crazy Rants of Samantha Burns


Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 6:31 AM CDT
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Updated: Monday, 14 May 2007 9:04 AM CDT
Sunday, 6 May 2007
Fight Back

May 6, 2007 8:22 AM
citizens have already signed this petition!

Mexcan flag over U.S. dishonored flag

Fight Back!!!




Counter- March


May 1, 2007, Chicago, Illinois

On May 1, Huge crowds of Illegal Aliens dishonored this country by demanding Something they did not Earn—Citizenship.

Fight back by being one of a million signers on this ‘Virtual Counter-March’ Petition, sent to President George W. Bush.

Dear President Bush On May 1, Illegal Aliens dishonored our country by demanding something they did not earn—U.S. citizenship.
Please use your influence to block all moves in Congress to reward lawbreakers with citizenship, welfare, and other benefits true Americans have fought and died for.
Amnesty is not a solution—it's a SURRENDER!

Press to Go to Signup Page

PRIVACY POLICY: Your information will NOT be shared, rented or sold to any entity or group.


Petitions are being handled by NumbersUSA, a non-profit,

organization based in Arlington, Virginia

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OTA Weekend at The Crazy Rants of Samantha Burns


Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 8:10 AM CDT
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Updated: Sunday, 6 May 2007 8:40 AM CDT
Saturday, 5 May 2007
Saving The World

Bjorn Lomborg: An economist's view on saving the world

About this Talk
Given $50 billion to spend, which would you solve first, AIDS or global warming? Danish economist Bjorn Lomborg put this question to economists and students around the world, and the answers they came up with may surprise you. Ranking our toughest problems not on any moral scale but simply by how effectively they can be solved, Lomborg and his colleagues demand we take a fresh look at doing good.

About Bjorn Lomborg
Danish economist Bjorn Lomborg heads the Copenhagen Consensus, which has prioritized the world's... More >

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Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 9:11 AM CDT
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Updated: Saturday, 5 May 2007 9:18 AM CDT
Thursday, 3 May 2007
We Win, They Lose
Topic: Iraq War
Join the Battle along with We Win They
Pass it on:
To every Middlesex village and farm,---
A cry of defiance, and not of fear,
A voice in the darkness, a knock at the door,
And a word that shall echo for evermore!
For, borne on the night-wind of the Past,
Through all our history, to the last,

In the hour of darkness and peril and need,
The people will waken and listen to hear

Hat Tip: Big Lizards in We Win, They Lose Inc.
When it came to defeating the Soviets, Ronald Reagan made it simple: "We win, they lose." Now more than ever, the defeatists in Congress must hear that same message. America will never surrender

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Posted by ky/kentuckydan at 1:03 AM CDT
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Updated: Friday, 4 May 2007 7:46 AM CDT

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