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Yugoslavia |
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Was the Cold War a Third World War? The Cold War is said to have begun when the Communists in Czechoslovakia staged a coup and ejected the non-Communist President and Prime Minister. Other signs of Stalin's hostility were: his refusal to accept American Marshall Aid both for the Soviet Union and eastern Europe; Stalin's attempts to drive the other allies out of Berlin by blockading the land and water routes from western Germany. This resulted in the Berlin airlift and later the formation of a west German Republic, and then the formation of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). The Korean War and Vietnam war were perhaps parts of this
war. There was a hidden war of secret agents and covert operations, each side organizing coups and client governments in the former colonial countries. Was it a war between Socialism and the Free market (capitalism)? or was it mainly about national power? Historians will argue about this, probably for generations. Indeed, already the view is being expressed that the Soviet Union was never in fact a threat to the west, as on its collapse Russia and its other states was revealed as a third world economy. In this case the Cold War was perhaps a kind of fraud with the purpose of accelerating technical developments. New World War? In the 1990s the wars in Yugoslavia and parts of the former Soviet Union: Chechnya, Tajikistan, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Armenia, suggested there was a danger of worldwide instability. However, most of these wars have died down. There are still some legacies of the former Cold War. The two Koreas remain a source of potential fighting, especially as South Korea is a successful modern economy while the North is a primitive autocracy - with nuclear weapons. The dispute between Cuba and the United States continues, at least until Fidel Castro dies. Many Muslims are hostile to the western dominated world, and especially to support for Israel by the United States. This has led to the Taliban in Afghanistan and their association with Osama bin Laden, provoking individual acts of terrorism in western cities, and in their third world allies, such as Kenya and Tanzania. A major war in the Congo, mainly about control of raw materials, has killed millions. The threatened shortage of fossil fuels, especially oil and gas, has led to tensions between the various consumers, especially the new economy of China, and may already have sparked a war in Darfur, Sudan. As much of the remaining oil is in Muslim countries this rivalry exacerbates disputes with the Muslim world. Terrorism Oil Russia's power is reviving as it uses the supply of gas to its neighbors, including former members of the USSR and western Europe, to exert political power. Outlook An even greater danger would seem to be the breakdown of civil society caused by the immense destructive ability of modern weapons. Destruction is easy and cheap; rebuilding is long and difficult. Iraq is a good example. Lebanon after the Israeli attacks of 2006 is another. Societies without government may be increasing. Climate Change is certain to produce huge instabilities. |
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Wars |
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