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Ukraine (the frontier land) is the site of the first Russian states. Kiev was the principality founded by Rurik, one of the Viking invaders (known as Rus) which thus started off the modern Russian civilization. Its adoption of the form of Christianity practiced in Constantinople determined Russia's future culture. After the country had a different subsequent history the language of the people diverged from what is now Russian. Parts of the country were ruled in the 17th century by: Lithuania, when it was a Polish-Lithuanian empire; Poland; Austria and Russia. The main part became part of Russia from the late 18th century when Poland was extinguished in the Partitions. During the Russian revolution which led to the formation of the Soviet Union, Ukraine achieved a brief independence. Much of the Russian Civil War was fought on the territory of Ukraine. In 1920 its independence came to an end as the Ukrainians had no force left to resist incorporation in the new communist state. It was constituted as a Republic on the formation of the Soviet Union but ruled by the Communist party which centralized all power in Moskva. At this time the Kharkhov Oblast (district) of Russia was added. Stalin encouraged cultural traditions, although suppressing any signs of political independence. In the 1930s Ukraine suffered a serious famine as a result of StalinŐs campaign against kulaks (richer farmers). In 1946 Stalin insisted that Ukraine and Byelorussia should each have a seat at the UN (but his intention was merely to have extra votes in the Assembly; he suggested that the US give membership to Texas and California). However, until 1990 it was entirely under the control of Moskva and had no separate sovereignty. Its relation to Russia may be considered similar to Scotland's to England as the language bears a similar relation to Russian that Scots does to English. After the Soviet Union dissolved, Ukraine became independent but it had never been independent before. It is not yet clear what its future condition will be, nor indeed whether its independence will last. The boundaries of the Ukraine have moved in the past. From 1919 to 1939 much of the present western Ukraine was part of Poland. Most of the people in the western area are Uniates (Orthodox ritual but affiliated to the Roman Catholic church), whereas the people of the east are Orthodox. Before 1939 the landlords were Polish over Ukrainian peasants. This may be a potential source of conflict. The western area was annexed by the Soviet Union as part of the Stalin-Ribbentrop pact of 1939. There are Romanian speakers in the Bukovina district which was part of Romania until the Stalin-Ribbentrop pact which shared out central Europe between the two totalitarian powers. Following the second world war the western area was confirmed as part of the Soviet Union (Ukraine) and Poland compensated with former German territory. In 1956 the Crimea, whose population is mostly Russian, was transferred to Ukraine by Khrushchov. Following the events of August 1991 Ukraine declared its independence and following a referendum in December 1991 became a recognized independent state. But the difference between western and eastern areas could still lead to disputes and even fighting. There may also be disputes with Russia over areas which are predominantly Russian-speaking, especially Crimea. However, if Ukraine could show itself more prosperous than Russia there might be little incentive for the Russians to demand to join Russia. But actually the economy is in an even worse condition than Russia's. It seemed possible that Ukraine, Belarus and Russia might have formed an association of Slav states as a substitute for the Soviet Union. But this may be no more than the customs union formed by Poland, Hungary and Czechoslovakia - much weaker than the European Community. Ukraine has been admitted to the United Nations (its previous "membership" under Stalin's bargain was only as part of the Soviet delegation). Although it is a member of the Commonwealth of Independent States its cooperation is minimal. There is talk of eventual membership in the European Community, which does not seem practicable in the foreseeable future - but history moves fast these days. Relations with Russia seem to be getting worse, even though as the economy deteriorates a new connection or dependency on Russia looks more likely. Can it retain its independence? Some reporters note that many of the other CIS republics have already (end 1993) moved towards closer relations with Russia. Most ordinary Russians, and probably military officers, do not believe in Ukraine's separation from Greater Russia. Russian fascists are calling for the renewal of the empire. A serious threat is the the demand in December 2005 from Russia for payment of market rates for gas supplies by the Russian state owned company Gazprom. This would require an increase of 4 times in the price of gas for heating and industry, with a threat of cutting off supplies. This has been interpreted as a punishment for electing a pro-western president. |
Ukrainian Russian Magyar Romanian Polish Tatar |
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Former Communists controled the government after independence. The 2004 elections (November 2004) showed a fairly even split between the Catholic and former Polish western part of the country - speaking mainly Ukrainian and the mainly Russian speaking east of the country. The western candidate Viktor Yushchenko appeared to have won more votes but the eastern candidate was declared the winner after suspected ballot box stuffing and irregularities in the counting. Yushchenko proposed closer relations with the EU, whereas his opponent, the Prime Minister under Kuchma, preferred closer relations with Russia. One outcome might even be a split of the country between the two halves. Could this be achieved without a civil war? Before the election some of the Russian speakers were talking of forming their own republic based on Donetsk, as has happened in Moldova, if Yushchenko and his west Ukraine supporters won. So far nothing like that has happened. In a re-run of the election Yuschenko was declared the winner. (He seems to have been poisoned by agents of the previous regime and was very ill with symptoms of Dioxin poisoning, something remembered when Aleksandr Litvinenko was poisoned with Polonium in London, probably by Russian agents). He announced a policy of moving towards membership of the EU. As the economy is in such a bad state full membership cannot be foreseen for the near future, certainly not in the next wave. The new government has been accused of being as corrupt as the previous. Yuschenko dismissed his cabinet (his associates in the Revolution) for corruption 8 September 2005. The new government seems to be composed of people representing the corrupt oligarchy who gained from the privatisation of the state industries - just as the Kuchma government was. Is this democracy? There are reports that the voters are unhappy. In 2007 disputes between Yuschenko and the pro-Russian Yanukovich broke out again. The latter was appointed Prime Minister and is said to work against all the president's policies. It can be assumed that Yanukovich has the support of Putin, whose policy is to reconstitute the Soviet Union. In April 2007 Yuschchenko has declared parliament, dominated by Yanukovich, dissolved. Could this lead to a civil war? May 2007 shows the danger of a military coup when the troops of the Ministry of the Interior were reported not to be under the control of the President. Elections in 2010 are expected to see Yushchenko decisively defeated with a run-off between Yulia Tymoshenko and Yanukovich. The latter may well win. Will this mean moving closer to Russia, as Putin wishes? |
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Improved, but not a lot. |
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