The whole Kosovo/Nato situation is a big mistake. There's nothing good that can possibly come out of this in the long run (unless we say WW III is a good thing). NATO/U.S. will not win it by air power. A ground war would be expensive, unpopular and strategically unwise. Particularly with Y2K hitting a few months down the road. Yet it seems that is the direction we are headed.
As shown in the Conflict in Kosovo page, we seem to be setting ourselves up for an historic confrontation between ourselves and Russia and China, and our leaders don't seem to see it. As Yeltsin says in Russia Today, April 19,1999:
"Bill Clinton hopes to win, he hopes (Yugoslav President Slobodan) Milosevic will capitulate, give up the whole of Yugoslavia, make it America's protectorate," Yeltsin said. "We will not allow this. This is a strategic place, the Balkans."
For those who think that a nuclear exchange is unlikely, remember that it what Russia has been planning. Despite their economic weakness, their firepower is formidable. The U.S. is currently on "launch on IMPACT" (as opposed to "launch on warning" which Russia is still on.) This means that we would have most of our missiles and silos destroyed in one volley to which, by then, our military forces would be incapable of responding effectively.
The Russian Strategic Rocket Forces are on permanent alert. This gives them a position from which to launch a surprise attack.
Quotes:
"The principle of the employment of
nuclear weapons in combination with other
means of destruction follows from the
fact that it is impossible to destroy all varied
objectives on the battlefield with nuclear
weapons alone. It is believed that nuclear
weapons, as the main means of destruction,
will be employed only for the
destruction of the most important
objectives; all other targets are
neutralized and destroyed by the artillery, aviation,
and the fire of tanks and other weapons. "
-Colonel A.A. Sidorenko, Soviet Strategist
"All warfare is based on deception.
Hence, when able to attack we must seem
unable; when using our forces, we
must seem inactive; when we are near, we
must make the enemy believe we are
far away; when we are far away, we must
make him believe we are near. Hold
out baits to entice the enemy. Feign
disorder, and crush him."
-Sun Tzu
Nuclear Warfare:
"The rapid deployment of the
[intercontinental] missile is due to its extremely
advantageous characteristics. This weapon
has unlimited range, enormous speed
and high trajectory, great accuracy and
maneuver of fire, and can carry a nuclear
warhead of any yeild. Ballistic missiles,
employed en masse, are still practically
invulnerable to existing means of air defense,
and their employment is almost
independent of weather conditions."
-- Soviet Military Strategy , p. 298.
"For the Soviet strategist nuclear war is
not merely an exchange of nuclear
strikes, but a military operation involving
huge masses of infantry, tanks, and
ships. The key to victory in such operations
is: exploit, exploit, and again,
exploit. The idea is to use one's missiles
to make huge holes in the enemy. Next:
move rapidly through those holes before
the victim can recover."
-- Origins of the Fourth World War, p. 201
"The assertion that nuclear war
will not be a continuation of politics is
completely fallacious."
-- Colonel General Makhmut Al. Gareev
"The Armed Forces of the Soviet Union
and the other socialist countries must
be prepared above all to wage war under
conditions of the mass use of nuclear
weapons by both belligerent parties."
-- M. I. Cherednichenko
"If the attack succeeds in destroying
the defender with the very first nuclear
volley, he will no longer be able to offer
resistance to the attacker with either
nuclear or conventional weapons."
-- Colonel A. A. Sidorenko
"Preemption in launching a nuclear strike
is considered the decisive condition
for the attainment of superiority over him
and the seizure and retention of the
initiative."
-- Colonel A. A. Sidorenko
"Not only the enemy's armed forces,
but also the sources of his military power,
the important economic centers, and also
points of military and state control as
well as the areas where different branches
of armed forces are based, will be
subjected to simultaneous destruction."
-- Colonel M. Shirokov
"The Soviet strategic literature
indicates that chemical and biological agents will
be used against 'unsalvageable' populations,
even after they have been
disorganized and disarmed. As the
Communists define it, an unsalvageable
population is thoroughly and irredeemably
bourgeois. Such people are past the
point of benefitting from any sort of
re-education. Therefore, all unsalvageables
will be subject to a Kremlin-inspired
'Final Solution,' probably by way of biological
attacks."
-- Origins of the Fourth World War, p. 205
"The Soviet leaders have estimated
that they might lose between 5% and 8% of
their population in a war. They would
not mind 20% casualties if victory was
assured. Remember: It does not matter
how you play the game -- as long as you
win."
-- Origins of the Fourth World War, p. 211
"There is profound error and harm in
the disoriented claims of bourgeois
ideologues that there will
be no victor in a thermonuclear war. "
-A.S. Milovidov, Russian Military Theorist
The Soviet Art of War
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