Monday March 5th: Overnight some very light snow, sleet, & freezing rain fell, leaving a coating on the ground & roads.

The morning Winter Storm Statement was:

AN INTENSIFYING NOREASTER OFF DELAWARE WILL BRING A MIXED BAG OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SNOW TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL MOVE SLOWLY NE & BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND TONIGHT. THEN IT WILL MAKE A LOOP BEFORE HEADING OUT TO SEA TUES NIGHT & WEDNESDAY.
A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE ARE FORECAST TO ACCUMULATE IN THE AFFECTED AREAS CAUSING HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE ADVISED TO CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE...OR SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN CT- NORTHERN NEW LONDON CT-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-ORANGE NY-PUTNAM NY- ROCKLAND NY-WESTERN PASSAIC NJ-
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES A WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
A MIXTURE OF SLEET...SNOW...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON. THIS MIXTURE WILL THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW EARLY TONIGHT. BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS LATE TUES OR TUES NIGHT... MORE THAN A FOOT OF SNOW IS QUITE POSSIBLE.
BERGEN NJ-BRONX NY-EASTERN PASSAIC NJ-ESSEX NJ-HUDSON NJ- KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY-NASSAU NY-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) NY- NORTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-QUEENS NY- RICHMOND (STATEN IS.) NY-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD CT- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON CT- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-UNION NJ
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES A WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW...SLEET & SOME PLAIN RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW TONIGHT. BY THE TIME IT ENDS LATE TUES OR TUES NIGHT...GREATER THAN 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED MOST PLACES.

Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 235 PM EST MON MAR 5 2001 WESTERN SECTIONS (INCLUDING NYC) STARTING TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW AS UPPER LOW APPROACHES. HEAVIEST PRECIP NOW OVER EASTERN ZONES. MODELS SIMILAR WITH POSITIONING OF LOW THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN SOME DIFFERENCES TUESDAY.
THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT ETA BRINGS THE MAJORITY OF THE QPF TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW...WHICH CORRESPONDS TO JUST NORTH OF OUR CWA. THE SFC LOW MOVES VERY CLOSE TO LI...WHICH RESULTS IN TOO MUCH DRY AIR ALOFT IN THE MID AND UPPER LAYERS FOR ANY HEAVIER QPF AMOUNTS. I LIKE THE AVN LOOK BETTER AS WRAP AROUND AND PLENTY OF UVM OCCURS FROM NE TO SW FROM ROUGHLY BOS VCNTY INTO SOUTHERN CT. THIS OCCURS THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY...THEN CATEGORICAL SNOW CONTINUES TUESDAY NIGHT BUT LIGHTENS UP AS UPPER SUPPORT AND SFC LOW PULLS FINALLY TO THE EAST.

IN THE SHORT TERM...18Z SOUNDING SHOWS TOO MUCH WARM AIR AROUND H8 TO OVERCOME...EVEN WITH HEAVY PRECIP APPROACHING. DYNAMIC COOLING WILL NOT OVERCOME THIS WARM LAYER FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS. FURTHER WEST...ANY MIXTURE SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL SNOW QUICKLY BEFORE 00Z. EAST ZONES WILL TAKE A LITTLE LONGER.
ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE THE CONCERN FOR LI...SRN CT EARLY. THEN SNOW CONTINUES EVERYWHERE AFTER 06Z AND THROUGH TUESDAY. WILL GO WITH A GENERAL ACCUMULATION ACROSS THE REGION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. WITH A FEW INCHES ALREADY ON THE GROUND OVER NORTHEAST NJ AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...THIS WOULD MEAN A STORM TOTAL OF 1 TO 1 1/2 FEET. ALSO...WITH LOW PROXIMITY TO THE AREA...DO NOT EXPECT THE TYPE OF WINDS AND CONDITIONS TO WARRANT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES TUESDAY NIGHT AND ENDS LATER ON. ON WEDNESDAY...THE LOW PULLS AWAY. MAY SEE SOME SUNSHINE DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPS: WILL UNDERCUT SOME OF THE HIGH TEMPS NEXT TWO DAYS...BUT ESPECIALLY TUESDAY WITH STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW.
MARINE: GALE'S REMAIN UP BUT MAY LIGHTEN UP FOR A TIME LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AS LOW RETROGRADES NEAR WATERS. AS FOR FLOODING CONCERN...TIDES RUNNING 2 1/2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ATTM AND SHOULD REMAIN UP. THE ONLY HELP MAY BE A SHIFT AROUND TO THE NW AS THE LOW APPROACHES. WILL CONTINUE THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.

THE HEAVY SNOW HAS FINALLY ARRIVED ACROSS S. CONNECTICUT & LONG ISLAND. AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONTAUK POINT WILL MOVE NE TOWARD CAPE COD THEN LOOP BACK TOWARD THE SW...PASSING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND TUESDAY. THIS STORM WILL THEN FINALLY PUSH WELL TO THE EAST TUES NIGHT.
ROAD CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS...SLOW DOWN & ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING.
A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE LOCAL AREA.
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX CT-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN CT- NORTHERN NEW LONDON CT-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD CT-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX CT- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN CT-
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 600 PM EST TUESDAY...
HEAVY SNOW WILL RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE TO...4 TO 8 INCHES...OVERNIGHT AS ROAD CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. THIS WILL BRING THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL UP TO...10 TO 16 INCHES...BEFORE IT ENDS TUES NIGHT.
NASSAU NY-NORTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-SOUTHWEST SUFFOLK NY-
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 600 PM EST TUESDAY...
HEAVY SNOW WILL RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE TO...4 TO 8 INCHES...OVERNIGHT AS ROAD CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. THIS WILL BRING THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL UP TO...7 TO 14 INCHES...BEFORE IT ENDS TUES NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS WESTERN & CENTRAL SUFFOLK COUNTY.
NORTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-SOUTHEAST SUFFOLK NY-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON CT-
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 600 PM EST TUESDAY...
SLEET & RAIN WILL CHANGE TO HEAVY SNOW WHICH WILL RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE TO...3 TO 6 INCHES...OVERNIGHT AS ROAD CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. THIS WILL BRING THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL UP TO...6 TO 12 INCHES...BEFORE IT ENDS TUES NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS THE WESTERN TWIN FORKS.
BRONX NY-ESSEX NJ-HUDSON NJ-KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) NY-QUEENS NY-RICHMOND (STATEN IS.) NY- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-UNION NJ-
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 600 PM EST TUESDAY...
SNOW...MAY BECOME MODERATE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT & WILL ACCUMULATE 2 TO 4 INCHES BY DAWN. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY... BRINGING THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL UP TO...5 TO 10 INCHES.
BERGEN NJ-EASTERN PASSAIC NJ-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER NY-ORANGE NY- PUTNAM NY-ROCKLAND NY-WESTERN PASSAIC NJ-
..THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUES THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 600 PM EST TUESDAY...
SNOW...WILL BECOME MODERATE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT & WILL ACCUMULATE 3 TO 5 INCHES BY DAWN. PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY... BRINGING THE STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL UP TO...12 TO 18 INCHES.

This storm just wasn't going to follow the game plan.