A WORLD IN TROUBLE |
Maximiliano Herrera's Human Rights Site The Home Page |
Electoral Calendar It is an electoral calendar that includes general, presidential, legislative, gubernatorial, regional, municipal, local council elections, referenda and party conventions dates. Updated weekly. |
Electoral Democracies It ranks all the independent countries in three categories: Electoral Democracy, Pseudo Democracy and Dictatorship according to their electoral system. It also includes a list of the countries without elections. |
Freedom in the World It ranks all the independent countries according to their political freedoms and civil rights. It also includes the website Freedom in the Territories which shows the same ranking for the related territories and non-independent regions. |
World Rank It contains a list of all independent countries in the world ranked according to their HDI (Human Development Index) or living standard. It means incomes, political situation, health system, social situation,etc.... The site also includes a link to World Rank in the Territories which includes the same statistics of living standard in the related non-independent territories. |
New Countries This site shows the possibilities of some territories becoming independent. The statistics includes the short term chances and the long term chances of achieving independence. It also includes another list which shows the statistics of some independent countries to be annexed into another country in the future. |
Military Power Index The Military power index shows the influence of the military forces in the societies of the independent countries. |
INTRODUCTION The site A World in Trouble ranks all the independent countries according to the perception of the risk of a coup or a conflict. This site doesn't consider if a country is democratic or not does it consider any economic situation,just the risk of overthrowing the chief of the state or entering into a conflict such as civil war,guerrilla action or war with other country. The site considers a risk within the immediate future, for example 2-3 years. In some countries there is a current risk of a coup or an outbreak of a conflict. In others there are particular situations which can lead toward this situation in the near future. Since it is not realistic to make a forecast of a very long term situation, I think it is logical and appropriate to consider a short period of 2-3 years. Categories of risk:NONE,VERY LOW,LOW,MEDIUM,HIGHLast update: 31/12/20COUNTRY RISK OF COUP RISK OF CONFLICTS AFGHANISTAN MEDIUM CIVIL WAR ALBANIA LOW MEDIUM ALGERIA HIGH MEDIUM ANDORRA NONE NONE ANGOLA LOW MEDIUM ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA VERY LOW VERY LOW ARGENTINA LOW LOW ARMENIA MEDIUM MEDIUM AUSTRALIA NONE NONE AUSTRIA NONE NONE AZERBAIJAN LOW MEDIUM BAHAMAS NONE NONE BAHRAIN MEDIUM HIGH BANGLADESH MEDIUM MEDIUM BARBADOS NONE NONE BELARUS HIGH HIGH BELGIUM NONE NONE BELIZE VERY LOW LOW BENIN MEDIUM MEDIUM BHUTAN VERY LOW LOW BOLIVIA HIGH HIGH BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA VERY LOW MEDIUM BOTSWANA VERY LOW VERY LOW BRAZIL LOW LOW BRUNEI VERY LOW VERY LOW BULGARIA VERY LOW LOW BURKINA FASO HIGH HIGH BURUNDI HIGH HIGH CAMBODIA MEDIUM MEDIUM CAMEROON MEDIUM HIGH CANADA NONE NONE CAPE VERDE VERY LOW NONE CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC HIGH CIVIL WAR CHAD HIGH HIGH CHILE LOW HIGH CHINA NONE LOW COLOMBIA VERY LOW GUERRILLA COMOROS HIGH MEDIUM CONGO BRAZZAVILLE MEDIUM MEDIUM CONGO KINSHASA HIGH GUERRILLA COSTA RICA NONE LOW COTE D'IVOIRE MEDIUM HIGH CROATIA VERY LOW VERY LOW CUBA LOW LOW CYPRUS NONE VERY LOW CZECH REPUBLIC NONE NONE DENMARK NONE NONE DJIBOUTI LOW GUERRILLA DOMINICA VERY LOW VERY LOW DOMINICAN REPUBLIC VERY LOW VERY LOW ECUADOR HIGH HIGH EGYPT MEDIUM HIGH EL SALVADOR LOW LOW EQUATORIAL GUINEA MEDIUM LOW ERITREA HIGH MEDIUM ESTONIA NONE VERY LOW ESWATINI LOW MEDIUM ETHIOPIA HIGH MEDIUM FIJI LOW LOW FINLAND NONE NONE FRANCE NONE VERY LOW GABON MEDIUM HIGH GAMBIA HIGH MEDIUM GEORGIA MEDIUM MEDIUM GERMANY NONE NONE GHANA MEDIUM LOW GREECE LOW LOW GRENADA VERY LOW VERY LOW GUATEMALA LOW MEDIUM GUINEA HIGH HIGH GUINEA BISSAU HIGH MEDIUM GUYANA LOW LOW HAITI HIGH HIGH HONDURAS LOW MEDIUM HUNGARY VERY LOW LOW ICELAND NONE NONE INDIA VERY LOW GUERRILLA INDONESIA LOW GUERRILLA IRAN MEDIUM MEDIUM IRAQ HIGH CIVIL WAR IRELAND NONE NONE ISRAEL NONE TERRORISM ITALY NONE VERY LOW JAMAICA NONE LOW JAPAN NONE LOW JORDAN LOW MEDIUM KAZAKHSTAN LOW MEDIUM KENYA LOW MEDIUM KIRIBATI VERY LOW VERY LOW KUWAIT LOW MEDIUM KYRGYZSTAN MEDIUM MEDIUM LAOS VERY LOW GUERRILLA LATVIA VERY LOW VERY LOW LEBANON MEDIUM GUERRILLA LESOTHO HIGH MEDIUM LIBERIA MEDIUM MEDIUM LIBYA HIGH CIVIL WAR LIECHTENSTEIN NONE NONE LITHUANIA VERY LOW VERY LOW LUXEMBOURG NONE NONE MADAGASCAR HIGH HIGH MALAWI MEDIUM MEDIUM MALAYSIA LOW LOW MALDIVES HIGH MEDIUM MALI HIGH GUERRILLA MALTA NONE NONE MARSHALL ISLANDS VERY LOW VERY LOW MAURITANIA HIGH HIGH MAURITIUS VERY LOW VERY LOW MEXICO LOW LOW MICRONESIA VERY LOW VERY LOW MOLDOVA MEDIUM MEDIUM MONACO NONE NONE MONGOLIA LOW LOW MONTENEGRO MEDIUM LOW MOROCCO VERY LOW MEDIUM MOZAMBIQUE MEDIUM GUERRILLA MYANMAR HIGH GUERRILLA NAMIBIA LOW LOW NAURU VERY LOW VERY LOW NEPAL MEDIUM MEDIUM NETHERLANDS NONE NONE NEW ZEALAND NONE NONE NICARAGUA MEDIUM HIGH NIGER HIGH GUERRILLA NIGERIA HIGH GUERRILLA NORTH KOREA MEDIUM LOW NORTH MACEDONIA MEDIUM MEDIUM NORWAY NONE NONE OMAN HIGH HIGH PAKISTAN HIGH GUERRILLA PALAU VERY LOW NONE PANAMA VERY LOW NONE PAPUA NEW GUINEA MEDIUM MEDIUM PARAGUAY LOW GUERRILLA PERU MEDIUM GUERRILLA PHILIPPINES MEDIUM GUERRILLA POLAND LOW LOW PORTUGAL NONE NONE QATAR MEDIUM LOW ROMANIA LOW LOW RUSSIA LOW TERRORISM RWANDA MEDIUM MEDIUM SAINT KITTS AND NEVIS NONE VERY LOW SAINT LUCIA NONE VERY LOW SAINT VINCENT /GRENAD. VERY LOW VERY LOW SAMOA VERY LOW LOW SAN MARINO NONE NONE SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE MEDIUM VERY LOW SAUDI ARABIA MEDIUM MEDIUM SENEGAL LOW GUERRILLA SERBIA LOW MEDIUM SEYCHELLES LOW VERY LOW SIERRA LEONE MEDIUM MEDIUM SINGAPORE NONE VERY LOW SLOVAKIA VERY LOW VERY LOW SLOVENIA NONE NONE SOLOMON ISLANDS LOW MEDIUM SOMALIA HIGH CIVIL WAR SOUTH AFRICA VERY LOW LOW SOUTH KOREA VERY LOW LOW SOUTH SUDAN HIGH CIVIL WAR SPAIN NONE LOW SRI LANKA MEDIUM MEDIUM SUDAN HIGH CIVIL WAR SURINAME LOW LOW SWEDEN NONE NONE SWITZERLAND NONE NONE SYRIA HIGH CIVIL WAR TAIWAN VERY LOW LOW TAJIKISTAN MEDIUM MEDIUM TANZANIA HIGH MEDIUM THAILAND HIGH GUERRILLA TIMOR LESTE LOW LOW TOGO MEDIUM HIGH TONGA LOW MEDIUM TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO LOW LOW TUNISIA MEDIUM MEDIUM TURKEY MEDIUM TERRORISM TURKMENISTAN MEDIUM MEDIUM TUVALU VERY LOW VERY LOW UGANDA MEDIUM GUERRILLA UKRAINE MEDIUM CIVIL WAR UNITED ARAB EMIRATES LOW LOW UNITED KINGDOM NONE LOW UNITED STATES NONE LOW URUGUAY NONE NONE UZBEKISTAN HIGH MEDIUM VANUATU LOW MEDIUM VATICAN CITY NONE NONE VENEZUELA HIGH HIGH VIETNAM NONE VERY LOW YEMEN HIGH CIVIL WAR ZAMBIA MEDIUM MEDIUM ZIMBABWE MEDIUM HIGH
- Swaziland has been renamed Eswatini.Macedonia has been renamed North Macedonia.
- Belarus: The people will keep protesting and seeking the outs of dictator Lukashenko who will rely on Russia military help.
- Thailand:There might be contrast within the army during the increasing popular protests
- Central African Republic:Risk of coup are is again very high