10 months to go in Lebanon
 

 
                     By Zvi Bar'el

                     The shopping festival organized by the residents of Jezzine
                     last week was a total flop. Too few tourists showed up and
                     too few local residents were willing to spend their money in
                     the stores that took part in the festival. Jezzine's hotels -
                     located just north of the Israeli-controlled security zone in
                     southern Lebanon - are still empty, and even the foreign
                     correspondents who covered the withdrawal from the
                     Jezzine enclave by the South Lebanon Army, the
                     Israeli-backed militia, have left and no longer take an
                     interest in the place. The main complaints of the residents,
                     as reported in the Lebanese press, are about the tough
                     roadblocks the Lebanese army has set up at the town's
                     entrance points. On top of that, tourists who want to visit
                     have to obtain a special entry permit from the Lebanese
                     army - and the permit is usually valid for only one day.The
                     official pretext offered for the army's roadblocks around
                     Jezzine is to ensure that the former SLA fighters who
                     remain in the town do not slip out, and to prevent
                     collaborators with Israel from returning. Lebanon, at least
                     as things look now, less than three months after the SLA's
                     evacuation of the Jezzine enclave, wants to give the
                     impression that it is punishing the former SLA personnel
                     and that collaborators with Israel will face trial. A few dozen
                     SLA personnel have already been given a quick trial, in
                     fact; most of them were sentenced to one year in prison and
                     a fine, though the former deputy commander of the town
                     received 10 years in prison at hard labor.

                     Lebanese sources say that all these trials are only for show
                     and that none of those who have been convicted will spend
                     more than a month or two behind bars. In fact, the sources
                     say, the Lebanese army couldn't care less if SLA personnel
                     leave the town; what the army really wants is to prevent the
                     entry of a flood of Hezbollah people or, worse still, the entry
                     of opposition or Palestinian groups, which could take
                     advantage of the power vacuum that was created when the
                     SLA pulled out.

                     The largely Christian Jezzine enclave, which the IDF
                     considered an essential strategic stronghold for so many
                     years - whoever controlled it also controlled the passage
                     between western Lebanon and Syria, and it also functioned
                     as a crucial location from which to monitor the movement of
                     Hezbollah personnel from the Lebanese Beka'a into
                     southern Lebanon - was beside itself with glee. The fact
                     that it was once under Israeli control through the auspices
                     of the SLA already seems to be ancient history. The military
                     advantages that accrued from holding the enclave could
                     not conceal the fact that it had become a serious security
                     burden.

                     At the same time, the Israeli fear that Hezbollah would
                     seize the town and massacre the residents has not
                     materialized. Lebanon, which is continuing to assert that it
                     will not provide security guarantees in the event of an IDF
                     withdrawal from Lebanon - during the SLA's evacuation of
                     Jezzine, the Lebanese army did not deploy in place of the
                     withdrawing forces, either - proved that it is unwilling to
                     cede any Lebanese territory, not even in favor of an
                     organization that has won the title of the "national
                     resistance."

                     Once the IDF decided, together with SLA commander
                     General Antoin Lahad, on a pullout from Jezzine, the
                     evacuation became a test case for the intentions of
                     Lebanon and Syria ahead of a possible total Israeli
                     withdrawal from Lebanon. Three months after the
                     evacuation, it can be said, albeit cautiously, that "Jezzine
                     first" is a success. And not only from the point of view of
                     Israel, which is still skirmishing with Hezbollah in other
                     sectors of southern Lebanon; it is also a success from the
                     viewpoint of the SLA, which wanted to see how the
                     Lebanese authorities would treat its personnel.

                     In Jezzine, the Lebanese government showed SLA
                     militiamen that, in return for comparatively light punishment,
                     they can resume their lives as full-fledged citizens of
                     Lebanon. Hezbollah, for its part, showed the Christians in
                     the area and the villages around Jezzine that it is not a
                     vindictive organization and that it does not massacre
                     Lebanese civilians.

                     The withdrawal from Jezzine, it should be remembered,
                     was decided on and executed without any agreement with
                     Lebanon or Syria - it was done because the situation
                     compelled it. Prime Minister Ehud Barak promised that in
                     one year, the IDF would no longer be in Lebanon - and that
                     year is up in 10 months. They are also counting the months
                     in Lebanon, as in Israel, and trying to decide how serious
                     Barak's pledge is.

                     But residents of Kiryat Shmona and Nahariya find it difficult
                     to understand why the residents of Jezzine have already
                     begun to pick up the pieces of their shattered lives, while
                     they have to go on listening to threats broadcast over
                     Lebanese television in order to know whether to scramble
                     for their bomb shelters. Ten months for the residents of
                     Upper Galilee is too long a period for those who
                     understand that the real threat is the security zone

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