An intro stats student wrote (concerning the 95% CI for the mean): >All we are trying to do is establish the range over which we are 95% >certain our sample mean will reside in, if the alternative hypothesis is >true. Basically we find the left and right critical values of our >alternate hypothesis, and that is our range. And I replied: Hold on a second. You KNOW what your sample mean is. You don't need a range over which you are 95% certain it falls in. To calculate a 95% CI for the POPULATION mean, you take your sample mean plus and minus the Standard Error times the critical value of z (or t, depending on whether or not the population variance is known), where the critical value is with alpha = .05 2-tailed. Let LL = lower limit of 95% CI UL = upper limit of 95% CI mu = population mean X-bar = sample mean SE = standard error of the mean CV = critical value of z (or t if Population SE is not known) with alpha = .05 2-tailed LL = X-bar - SE * CV UL = X-bar + SE * CV You may then see statements like this: p(LL < or = mu < or = UL) = .95 That is, the probability that the population mean falls between the Lower and Upper limits of the 95% CI = .95. But a word of caution about this. I'll quote from David Howell's textbook, Statistical Methods for Psychology (4th ed, p. 204): ----------- Start of quote from Howell ------------------------------- Statements of the form p(1.219 < mu < 1.707) are not interpreted in the usual way. The parameter mu is not a variable--it does not jump around from experiment to experiment. Rather mu is a constant, and the interval is what varies from experiment to experiment. Thus, we can think of the parameter as a stake and the experimenter, in computing confidence limits, as tossing rings at it. Nintey-five percent of the time, a ring of specified width will encircle the parameter; 5% of the time, it will miss. A confidence statement is a statement of the probability that the ring has been on target; it is not a statement of the probability that the target (parameter) landed in the ring. ----------- End of quote from Howell ------------------------------------ Cheers, Bruce