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FOR the first time since taking power
16 years ago, the African National Congress (ANC) is feeling rattled.
Not that it worries about losing control of the national government.
But the pesky little Democratic Alliance (DA) is yapping at its
heels in the run-up to local polls due next year. The DA was formed
ten years ago in an improbable merger of Helen Suzmans anti-apartheid
Democratic Party (DP) with the former ruling National Party, which
had been renamed the New National Party.
The centre-right DA is the only party that has gained ground in
every general election since apartheid ended. The DP, its predecessor,
won just 1.7% of the vote and seven parliamentary seats in 1994.
Last year the DA got nearly 17%, up from 12% in 2004, giving it
67 seats in the 400-seat parliament and confirming it as the countrys
official opposition. Its closest rival, with just 7% of the vote
and 30 seats, was the new Congress of the People (COPE), an ANC
breakaway that had been expected to do better. But the mainstream
ANC romped home just short of a two-thirds majority, leaving competitors
to wonder if the ruling party could ever be ousted.
With dogged patience, Helen Zille, the DAs leader (pictured
above), hopes to defeat the ANC ward by ward, city by city,
setting an example of integrity, good governance and efficient
services. Her party started with Cape Town, wresting it from the
ANC in 2006 and installing Ms Zille, a former journalist and anti-apartheid
activist, as mayor. Last year the DA took control of the Western
Cape, its first provincial conquest. Since then, it has been steadily
clocking up local by-election successes across the country and
is confident of further gains in next years municipal elections.
Widely regarded (and derided) as a white party, the
DA has been striving to expand its support beyond the 9% of the
population that is whitewith some success. Its victory in
the Western Cape was largely due to a surge in votes from coloureds
(people of mixed race), who make up around 60% of the provinces
population. With some minor privileges under apartheid, many coloureds
voted for the National Party in 1994 for fear of being swamped
by a hegemonic black majority.
About a third of the DAs MPs are non-white. But the party
still struggles to attract the black vote, three-quarters of the
total electorate. Despite increasing criticism of the ANC governments
failings, most black people refuse to break their bond with the
former liberation party. Barely 2% of black people voted for the
DA last year.
Ms Zille says she is ready to make way for a good black leader.
But there is no evidence he or she would attract more votes. The
blonde, hard-working, Xhosa-speaking Ms Zille is popular across
all groups in the Western Cape. Her courage in standing up to
black paternalistic authority is particularly admired among black
women. Under increasingly virulent and sexist attacks from ANC
membersshe has been accused of being a racist,
a wild whore and a cockroachshe
gives as good as she gets.