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Stolen Presidential Election and perhaps the End of  Somaliland: 

By Dr. Shacabi 

Somaliland Presidential Election outcome are stolen, manipulated with or have the outcome of the final results illegally interfered the selected task of the Somaliland Election Commission with not only by the Riyales’ government ministeries but also some key members of the Somaliland Congress and House of Elders or senators. This shows if one control (UDUB/Power of Government) any part or all of the election process, i.e not only inside the polls on Election day, but also outside the polls of election day and the determination of the outcome of the final counts or all of the election process(whom registers to vote, whom votes, for which candidate they vote, or the count) how can you lose, this is exactly how UDUB couldn’t lose, because they are using all resources and the power that they can utilized in order to win by any means necessary. 

The election fraud tears a gaping hole in the supposedly sacred “ Fair and free electoral system in Somaliland first democratic presidential election” and the best  efforts of Somaliland Citizens/media and the leadership of both challenging political parties of Kulmiye and Udub to promote “reconciliation”  and legitimacy for the Riyale presidency are not going to make that outrage voters disappear. The Somaliland Presidential election was stolen in advance, first, by what is now universally recognized the Election Commission as the tension of Somaliland voters and the final political parties rise-up and also the manipulation and the interference of both houses to delay the outcome of the final election results almost two days. 

Can we ask ourselves and say, was this really a stolen election? Absolutely: not once but more than once. Did the actual outcome matter? Yes and No. Whose votes were wasted? To state the main point first: There is a deep and underreported anger among thousands and thousands of  Somaliland people. 

There remains the question: Who wasted their votes? Let’s emphasize that we are NOT speaking here of the tens of thousands of people who can feel their votes were cast productively, because they liked what Kulmiye Party Leadership had to say, and voted accordingly. That’s democracy, at least electoral democracy. 

We must each familiar with nuts and bolts of Election Fraud so we can expose it and stop it! We must be familiar with Election Laws in our area so that we can demand that our elections be managed legally, properly and fairly! We must demand changes when the laws are unfair, we can only demand this if the Superior Court of Somaliland didn’t settle this election disputies fairly and squarly. If the Somaliland Supreme Court didn’t settle the election recount fairly, this will lead  the brink of civil war and perhaps the end of Somaliland.

The nature and scope of electoral integrity issues are affected in great part by the type of governance within a country and the cultural practices and social norms of its people. Although the basic problems are the same everywhere-- the unethical or illegal use of money, power or influence to artificially affect the election results-- the social and political context determines in large part, how these problems will manifest. Has the government taken an active role against corruption? Do the citizens understand the importance of elections and maintaining election integrity? Do the political parties know how to contest the elections, and do so in an honourable manner?

Each country has a unique type of governance, evolving from its political, economic and cultural history. The type of governance will affect the scope and nature of election integrity issues and the effectiveness of the different mechanisms which establish and enforce integrity. Countries with a history of governance based on the rule of law, with public officials that are accountable and procedures that are public and transparent, usually provide an environment that is conducive to maintaining electoral integrity. Violations of the electoral law can be identified and remedied, while prosecution and punishment of criminal actions can be processed through a working legal system.

In countries struggling with governance and rule of law issues, maintaining electoral integrity can be much more difficult. Here the electoral policy body and the electoral management body might need to establish their institutional and administrative credibility. Keeping election policy and administration neutral, professional and transparent can be difficult and might require additional mechanisms such as international technical assistance, or the presence of long term international observers. In the absence of credible legal and judicial systems, the election management body itself might have to be given wide powers to decide on complaints about the conduct of election officials, parties, candidates and others.

The political culture of a nation has been found to affect the conduct of its citizens and leaders, including their participation in elections. Political culture affects the public's perception of the electoral process and whether the elections and its outcome were legitimate. It is also a major factor in a national perception of what is and what is not an integrity problem.

Universal standards have been identified for free and fair elections, but political culture affects how these standards are interpreted. For example, Ethical behavaior is a part of integrity yet definitions may vary about what is and what is not "ethical"? Education, socialization, occupation, culture- all shape the way behaviour is perceived and judged. In countries with deep social and political cleavages, it can be difficult to agree on a national standard for integrity. Keeping elections "genuine" is much easier when there is a national or widespread consensus on the rules of the game Countries have taken cultural and political differences into account when drafting their electoral legislation and regulations. 

One of the primary participants in the elections is Political Parties, namely Udub, Kulmiye and Ucid. Political parties compete in elections in order to win public office and run the government. The type of national system that has developed directly affects the nature of the integrity issues and the types of mechanisms needed to address those problems. For example, is it a two-party or a multi-party system? Is there a dominant party or parties that receive preferential treatment or access to public resources for election purposes? Are smaller parties excluded? Is the multi-party political party system so new that many parties are still in the formative stage? Each one will generate a different kind of integrity issue.

Money has always been a factor in politics and elections. But the amount of money spent in pursuit of public office today has brought new dimensions to an old problem. Money, or things of material value, can be used as an incentive to vote for a particular candidate, to obtain a lucrative electoral contract, or to pay off a corrupt election official to tamper with the election results. Each political culture forms the way in which money is used. The fact that so much money is being spent on election campaigning and, with studies suggesting that the winner of an election is often the one who spends the most money, makes campaign financing one of the key integrity issues for almost every election.

Trust in the electoral system and its institutions is an important variable when discussing election integrity and the mechanisms needed to protect election integrity. In countries where there is a high degree of trust, the government routinely administers elections and there is little concern by the voters or candidates that the government will manipulate the process or election results. However, in countries with little trust in government institutions or in the other political parties to follow the rules, mistrust is a major factor. The degree of mistrust helps determine the institutional and administrative frameworks for the elections, and the additional safeguard mechanisms that will be needed to protect the integrity of the process.

Why do some candidates cheat? Perhaps their genetic structure has something to do with it, but an answer can be capsulized in one word: MISTRUST. Candidates really have no desire to cheat but because of mistrust some of them do. Those who cheat say: Do unto others before they do unto you. As a result, we become paranoid. We do not trust the candidates.  We do not even trust the voters. That is why we put indelible ink on their fingers by assuming that they will vote again unless they are prevented from doing so. In effect, the presumption of innocence has been effectively reversed.

The result of this mistrust is three fold:

One: We have grotesque provisions of law to prevent cheating and fraud. The funny thing is, the more we tighten our election laws, the more the few who are so inclined will finds ways to violate the law and avoid getting caught.

Two: The conduct of the elections become too expensive for the government. Ballot boxes which look like tanks, self-locking metal seals, paper seals, padlocks, special election paper, watermarks, voting booths, indelible ink, etc. costs millions of pesos which could be better utilized for the benefit of our less fortunate countrymen.

Three: Nobody admits defeat. As a result, pre-proclamation controversies and election contests abound, a continuing nightmare for the Udub and Kulmiye, and ultimately, the Supreme Court.  

Dr. Shacabi

Email: Shacabi@yahoo.com

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