Jeff Tune's Gambling Blog
Saturday, 22 July 2017
Satatoga day one
Was Saratoga day one a tough one? Well, nobody picked six. Nobody picked five! A couple of early winning favorites and then a bunch of nice prices.
I ended up losing a little on the day. I did bet 6-1 winner PROCTOR'S LEDGE in the Lake George, and my pick of DREAM IT IS won the Schuylerville at 9/2. Many of my 2nd and 3rd picks won and had I gone deeper in my bets I could have had a great day with doubles and pick threes.
But I did play a $8 online HorseTourneys contest. It was a pick-and-pray, not a live contest. Turned out to be an exciting one.
I pretty much looked for longshots in this contest as there were 14 players. I was blanked in the first four races but then had 9-1 winner SOUTHAMPTON WAY in the 5th. I was the only one who had this winner and I moved into first with a $19 lead and $31.40. When Muqtaser won the 7th at 7-1, a number of players had this one and one of them surpassed me to take the lead - $37.80 to my $31.40. In the 8th I was between DREAM IT IS (who was my original webpage pick) and STAINLESS. Ended up going with Stainless in the contest only to watch Dream It Is win big. Sigh. Would have put me back in the lead.
Going into the final race the standings remained the same and my pick was DYNAMIC WAR trained by George Weaver. My pick was based mainly on the owner/trainer stat. In the past three Saratoga meets, Weaver has won 5-of-11 with horses owned by Jim and Susan Hill. I was also encouraged that handicappers Mike Beer and David Argona also liked this one. And doesn't George Weaver always win the last race at Saratoga?
DYNAMIC WAR made a big wide move and looked like he was gonna win but could not catch 18-1 Joyful Joyful and finished second by a neck. I quickly checked to see if any of the other players had picked Joyful Joyful and no one had. Dynamic War was 9-2 and I needed at least a $6.50 place price to win the contest. She paid $7.70 to place and I ended up the winner by $1.30.
So I won $75 for first and my contest bankroll sits at $116. Lots more contests to play!
Thursday, 20 July 2017
Time for a quick update on things!
Saratoga opens tomorrow! My favorite time of year. I really get into handicapping Saratoga every year. I have my opening day selections here: http://www.angelfire.com/pa/tune/sar072117.html
Just remember to look for value at Saratoga. I usually note my top 3 or 4 picks but the odds will determine who I bet. Be sure to check out the public handicappers thoughts. Guys like Andy Serling, Mike Beer, and David Aragona can give you good info.
I will be up at Saratoga next week - my 27th consecutive year! Check back for some blog reports.
As you may recall, I was playing many of the "beginner" $2 tourneys on Horse Tourneys. Well, Horse Tourneys sent me an e-mail asking me to refrain from playing these as "you are not a beginner." LOL. They have since lowered their requirements for these to those who haven't played more than $100 in the past year so that excludes me anyways (it's since been lowered to $30).
I plan to play the $8 pick-and-pray Saratoga contest for opening day. Gotta look for some longshots!
As far as day-to-day gambling, nothing exciting to report. I'm cashing lots of tickets but mostly all small pick threes. I did have a win bet on 13-1 winner CLOUD COMPUTING in the Preakness.
Good luck with your summer gambling!
Wednesday, 3 May 2017
I'm going to call this my I-should-be-in-Las Vegas blog. Yes, I cancelled my trip this week. I'm not 100% recovered from my injury. I still have some trouble walking, and not being able to walk around downtown Vegas wouldn't be much fun. As of one week ago I was still on the fence about going, and I'm better every week but it was still a no go.
So, what did I do today? Since I'm not in Vegas, I went to the casino to play some blackjack! I haven't played in quite awhile. The casino offers $5 blackjack every day from 1-5 pm, and there are 4-6 tables going. I sat down and started out pretty good. I won two double downs and my $5 bet had now increased to $15. I got dealt 11 so I doubled to $30. I got an 8 for 19. Dealer got a 21 and beat me. Isn't it strange that when they change dealers your luck suddenly changes? In the middle of the shoe too. I soon got up a winner of $7.50.
I stopped over at the horse racing simulcast area and made a couple bets. I hit a .50 pick three that returned $21. My horse in the 3rd part won it by a nose. I was really rooting for the second place finisher as I was alive to that one too and the payoff would have paid $63. Oh well, can't complain (well maybe a little).
I've done well this week - I hit a 10-1 winner at Mohawk Monday night. Let's hope good luck carries into Derby weekend! If you check my main page, I have my KY Oaks selections up. KY Derby selections will be up tomorrow.
Monday, 1 May 2017
Hooray! Hooray! It's the First of May! Just a quick update before I get busy with Derby Day & Oaks Day handicapping. I've been doing ok - cashing tickets. A few missed opportunities and more than a few 2-out-of-3 pick 3's with nice potential payoffs. I haven't played many tourneys lately and haven't had much luck in the couple that I recently played. I'll most likely play for Oaks & Derby day.
Yesterday I ventured up tp the casino later in the afternoon to play a few late races I got stuck in traffic and arrived later than expected so I missed some of the races I had intended to play. I was looking for races to play and I pulled up Laurel Park's late double. Laurel is a track I never bet other than Preakness day, I very quickly handicapped the races and made a small 2 x 1 bet. I had the winner of the first leg - a 8/5 turf runner trained by Graham Motion. I had singled HUNGER in the finale. I had simply looked at the Brisnet race summary and Hunger's speed figs towered above the others. He was gonna be a big fave. But to my surprise he ended up the 2-1 second choice! HUNGER easily won it by nearly six lengths. But I heard the announcer's call. "It's Hunger, not seen since 2014. . . It's Hunger off the lo----ng layoff. I pulled up the pp's and sure enough - Hunger hadn't run since New Year's Day 2014!! I never would have bet such a horse. Double returned $15.20
Sometimes you just get lucky.
Saturday, 15 April 2017
Happy Tax Day! Hope y'all got a refund. I got a little lazy this week and didn't update my horses-to-watch list, but I now have put up some for tonight at Mohawk.
I played one contest this week. It was Keeneland and I won it. I only ended up with $22.90 but easily beat the other two players. I now stand exactly even for the past two months, lol. I also entered a contest Thursday. I handicapped the first four races and entered my selections only to find out after the first race that the contest was cancelled! It didn't fill. Bummer - I had a winner and two seconds in the first four races. Not sure how I would have done the rest of the card. I am (hopefully) playing a Keeneland contest again today. Looks like a good Saturday card!
I made a trip up to the casino yesterday. First time since my injury. I parked the car and took the shuttle up to the casino entrance and then walked over to the simulcast area. I'm walking without the crutches but still not easy to walk more than short distances. I lost a little bit- was playing mostly Keeneland and a little Tampa Bay and Gulfstream.
Ok, let's get handicapping!
Monday, 10 April 2017
First a quick update on my injury. I'm doing MUCH better - getting around without crutches but still haven't ventured out to the casino. Soon - I miss the comradery with my fellow horseplayers. I'm still undecided about my scheduled trip to Vegas the first week of May. Only three weeks away.
Still gambling quite a bit from home. Tried tourneys from Santa Anita and Keeneland recently. Came close to winning both but fell a bit short. My recent highlight was the Gr.1 Ashland Stakes from Keeneland. I liked the 22-1 winner SAILOR'S VALENTINE and had her in a daily double that returned $78 for a buck. One of my favorite tracks to bet, Hoosier Park has started racing so I will be playing soon.
Yep, I'm starting to get Derby fever!
Sunday, 26 March 2017
A quick recap of yesterday's Gulfstream contest. After picking two chalky winners early on, I was looking to go wire-to- wire. Then after picking 4-1 winner Biondetti Song, I had a decent lead. But there were four more races to go. My two opponents closed the gap a bit and with one race to go I held a $7.00 lead.
The finale was a MSW turf race at 7-1/2 furloings. The 9/5 favorite was GAME FACTOR, trained by Christophe Clement. This filly was a good second in her debut at this distance. She was definitely the horse to beat and I was going with her as my contest pick. There were certainly other options in the race including firsters from Chad Brown, Todd Pletcher, and Alan Goldberg. But I felt pretty confident with my choice. Well, Game Factor finished second and the winner was a 5-1 Bill Mott runner who hadn't done much in her four career races, but did have trouble in her one turf race and also showed a bullet work. I checked the contest leaderboard. Yep, another player picked this one. Hats off to him (actually her).
After playing sixteen of these contests in the past two months I am exactly even.
I did win a little from betting yesterday. Hit a daily double at Gulfstream and then a small pick three at Woodbine harness last night.
Saturday, 25 March 2017
First a quick update on my injury. It's been almost six weeks since my fall and I'm doing much better. Still on crutches but I can walk a bit without. I see the doc on Monday. I may be going back to work soon - half days. Still unsure if I will be able to make the Vegas trip first week of May. We'll see how I'm doing.
Now for a quick update on recent action. After losing five consecutive tourneys, I won one yesterday. I'm still playing the $2 ones which are almost always Gulfstream. When I handicapped the card it looked to be pretty chalky and sure enough, a lot of favorites were winning. The last 3 or 4 races really featured strong favorites so my strategy was to get the lead early and then just go with those late faves. It turns out that was what happened and with one race to go I held a $2.80 lead. I really liked the favorite in the finale, MORE ALEX. He ended up losing by a neck but neither of the other players had the 7-1 winner so victory was mine.
I will play the tourney again today. I'm not crazy about the two turf sprints but at least the weather looks good.
Regular betting has been ok. I hit a 14-1 winner at Tampa Bay and a couple of ok Woodbine pick threes recently. March has certainly been better than my awful Jan and Feb.
Tuesday, 14 March 2017
So I fancied a flutter on a 16-1 horse at Cheltenham---and I won!!
Let me explain. I was checking out Twin Spires this afternoon just to see what tracks were running, and I noticed Cheltenham. Cheltenham is a British steeplechase racing meet that began in 1860! This festival of racing takes place every March for only a four day meet! Check it out at the link below.
There was one race left for the day so I went online to see if a program was available. What I did find was a video of a bloke giving out his tips for today's races. He liked #16 GOLD PRESENT. There were 20 horses in this race! I decided to go with a flutter on that one. I discovered the term "flutter" online as well---a British term for placing a bet on something.
Just for shits & giggles I placed a $1.00 place bet on GOLD PRESENT--and he came in 2nd! But when the results went up there were three place prices! Hmm, is this a British racing thing? So I researched it and sure enough. Here is the British definition of a place bet.
Place - Finish in the top two, top three, top four and sometimes also top five in a competition or event. A place bet will win if the selection you bet on is among those placed. Usually, a horse runs a place if it finishes in the first three in fields of eight or more horses. If there are only six or seven runners the horse must finish first or second to place.
So my $1.00 place bet on a 16-1 horse returned $3.80.
British racing/betting is really interesting, When at the track you can still bet with a bookie in a betting ring, and get fixed odds on your bet. Or bet with Totepool, paramutuel betting like here in the US. However, they have different names for types of bets. An "each-way" is what we call a win-place bet. Check out the video below for some of the other bets like Toteswinger, toteplacepot, totequadpot, and more!
Thursday, 9 March 2017
Last Weekend Action
If it was a fight they woulda stopped it! Contest player Daniel V. took the lead right off the bat when he hit a 6-1 winner. Then added to it in the second race with a 5/2 winner. The best I could do in the first five races was a $4.00 place horse. So going into contest race six it is Danial V - $32.80, me - $4.00.
I had originally picked MISS MUNNINGS for this race. MM is trained by Angel Penna Jr. Wow, I thought he was long retired or dead but here he is at Gulfstream. He used to be a high percentage trainer years ago. But MISS MUNNINGS opened up at 4/5 so I switched picks to my alternate horse, AWESOME SONG, coming off a layoff for trainer Brian Lynch and ridden by Joel Rosario. A big price too. But with a minute to post I noticed MISS MUNNINGS had drifted up to 6-1! I switched my pick back to MM. Well, you can guess what happened. Yep. AWESOME SONG gets up for the win at 10-1. I'm just shaking my head. But really shaking my head when I see that leader Daniel V. picked this one! Well, that pretty much did it for this contest as everyone was shut out the rest of the way. Daniel V. wins it with $68.00!
I played again this past Sunday. I have a 7-1 Chad Brown firster in contest race 4 who takes the lead in the stretch only to get beat a neck at thw wire, grrrr. Even still the place price puts me slightly ahead. Two races later other dude takes the lead when he has the logical 4/5 winner. I just couldn't take the small price. But it's a real dogfight and we trade winners the next two races and going into the final race we are exactly tied! What happens with a tie? I had to go to the HorseTourney rules. First tiebreaker rule - whoever has the most wins. Well, my opponent has two and I have one.
The final race is a wide open turf event with a full field of 12. All I need is a place price. I land on 4-1 KITZYS ROCKET coming off a layoff with good connections of Barclay Tagg/Joe Bravo. KR settled midpack, then looked to be making the winning move coming around the stretch turn, but hung and finished a close 4th. So a blowout and a dead heat in these two contests but I come up empty.
I did cash some decent tickets this weekend. I hit an ok $.20 pick 3 at Woodbine Friday night that paid three-and-a-half times the parlay. Then Sat afternoon hit 4-1 and 16-1 winners at Gulfstream. I really liked a couple of my horses-to-watch Sat. night at Woodbine but both didn't do much. Then yesterday at Tampa Bay I needed a 6/5 to come in for a decent daily double after a 7-1 had won the previous race, but he lost by a neck.
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