A secret document from a June 1999 Navy Department assessment report titled, "Master Utility List" has been leaked to Jim Lord ( www.jimlord.to ), a retired Naval Officer with 24 years active service. Accordingly he must have had an inside source for this information. Given his background, it is more than likely he is a straight-shooter and this report is credible and accurately representative of this Naval Report. ( Click here to see it) It's now confirmed to be an official document as reported by this ABC news story where Koskinen, the PR brigade on y2k of the White House , Under Pressure by a Reporter, Admits the Existence of Navy's Report, Calls It No Big Deal!
The other other PR type in the y2k field, Peter De Jager, reacts in this article . To see Gary North's analysis of the situation and reaction to De Jager's article, CLICK HERE .
To see an analysis from Y2K NEWSWIRE, CLICK HERE .
The results are horrifying. They expect more than 26 million American citizens in 125 cities to be without electricity, water, gas or sewer services next January, and 44 cities where "total failure is likely" in one or more of the above sectors.
How many days could New York City survive without water and sewer services? How long would it take to evacuate eight million people in the dead of winter? Would thousands die in the process? Tens of thousands? More? When would the rioting and looting begin? How many National Guard troops would it take to control the largest city in the nation? What unthinkable devastation would be wrought on the global financial system? How might our enemies seize on the ensuing panic and confusion?
Are these the crazed speculations of a Y2K alarmist? Not if you know what the US Navy and Marine Corps know. According to a June 1999 report titled, "Master Utility List," they believe "total failure is likely" for New York City's water and sewer systems because of Y2K problems.
And they're holding this information back.
The Navy Department assessment is not limited to New York City; it covers all their shore facilities in the world-nearly 500 locations. The results are horrifying. They expect more than 26 million American citizens in 125 cities to be without electricity, water, gas or sewer services next January. Many more would be affected in foreign countries. London, England for example is expected to experience failures of all four types of utilities. Many of the people impacted by these failures would be military personnel and their families.
And the Navy Department isn't telling anyone.
Forty-five of the cities named in the survey have population greater than 100,000. Eight of the nation's dozen largest metropolitan areas are af-fected. Here's what the Navy expects:
Cities at Risk
The information presented below is based on a US Navy/Marine Corps survey dated June 1999. The survey was conducted to determine the risk of utility failures at military facilities worldwide. Only United States information is shown.
Each of the three tables below shows a list of cities and the Y2K exposure of the major utilities in each city. The columns labeled E, W, G and S refer to the Electrical, Water, Gas and Sewer utili-ties. An "x" in the column indicates that utility is expected to fail. To view expanded information on each city including the names of specific utilities, visit www.JimLord.to on the web.
Three levels of possible failure are indicated in the Navy document. Each table in this summary lists one of these levels.
1) Partial failure is probable.
2) Partial failure is likely.
3) Total failure is likely.
The terms "probable," "likely," "partial," and "total" are Navy terminology and were not clearly defined in the documentation. The terms "likely" and "total" however, represent the worst condition.
Cities in bold have populations greater than 100,000. Many of the utilities listed service many more customers than shown here.
43 cities where "partial failure is probable."
Amarillo TX Annapolis MD Arlington VA Avoca PA Baton Rouge LA Bethesda MD Broussard LA Carderock MD Charlotte NC Columbus OH Corpus Christi TX Crane IN Dallas TX Dayton OH Duluth MN El Paso TX Forest Park IL Greensboro NC Highland Park IL Houston TX Ingleside TX Key West FL Knoxville TN Lewisville AR Lexington Park MD Millington TN Mobile AL Montgomery AL Newport News VA Norfolk VA Pascagoula MS Peoria IL Philadelphia PA Portsmouth VA San Antonio TX Sheboygan WI Sugar Grove WV Truth or Conseq. NM Tulsa OK Washington DC Waukegan IL West Palm Beach FL Yorktown VA38 cities where "partial failure is likely." City:
Albany GA Atlanta GA Atlantic Beach FL Augusta GA Beaufort SC Bessemer AL Bossier City LA Cape Canaveral FL Charleston SC Chattanooga TN Clearwater FL Columbia SC Columbus GA Fort Lauderdale FL Fort Worth TX Greenville NC Gulfport MS Harlingen TX Hawkinsville GA Hollandale MS Jacksonville FL Kingsville TX Meridian MS Miami FL Milton FL Nashville TN New Orleans LA Orange City FL Orlando FL Panama City FL Pensacola FL Raleigh NC Slidell LA Smyrna GA St Marys GA Sullivans Island SC Waco TX Wetumpka AL44 cities where "total failure is likely."
Baltimore MD Bethlehem PA Bremerton WA Brunswick ME Buffalo NY Coronado CA Dahlgren VA Earl NJ Erie PA Fallbrook CA Glen Falls NY Great Falls MT Hartford CT Huntington WV Imperial Beach CA Kearney NJ Lakehurst NJ Mechanicsburg PA Morehead City NC National City CA New London CT New York City NY Newport RI Oak Grove NC Oak Harbor WA Ogden UT Pacific Beach WA Plaineville CT Pomona CA Port Hadlock WA Port of Seattle WA Portsmouth NH Providence RI Quantico VA Reading PA Reno NV Rochester NY San Jose CA Seal Beach CA Trenton NJ Warminster PA Watertown NY Weymouth MA Williamsport PA
1. One need not be even a mild "doom and gloomer" to realize that failures of the magnitude indicated in this Navy Department study are po-tentially catastrophic. The lives and health of millions of people are at stake. The national economy is threatened. Our way of life is jeop-ardized. The national security is at risk.
2. That the government is withholding this in-formation from the American people seems to me a monstrous abandonment of principle. Each of these military bases has a commanding officer. For large bases this is typically a Navy Captain or a Marine Colonel. These military leaders have raised their hands in the air and sworn an oath to support and defend the Constitution. (I recall this oath clearly having taken it several times during my own naval career and having administered it numerous times during reenlistment ceremonies.)
How can these commissioned officers remotely imagine that keeping this information from the citizens of this nation is in any way upholding their duty? I have no doubt they have been instructed by higher authority to maintain silence about these Y2K risks. How can they look themselves in the mirror each morning and con-ceive that what they are doing is right?
These commanders report to a chain of com-mand of Admirals and Generals culminating in the Joint Chiefs of Staff. How can these so-called "public servants" know that 26 million citizens are in such jeopardy and remain silent?
In the simplest terms-I stand bitterly ashamed of my former comrades. I cannot conceive of a blacker mark on the military leadership of the na-tion.
3 The government is holding out on its own people. The Navy uses a special message called an "ALNAV" (meaning all Navy) to communicate information to all naval personnel at once. On February 10, 1999, the Secretary of the Navy re-leased such a message telling all officers and enlisted personnel they had nothing to worry about from Y2K. The message identifier is SECNAV 101715Z FEB 99. Here's a quote,
"Speculation that power distribution systems will experience widespread failures are not based on facts or rational analysis. ? Most experts be-lieve water treatment and distribution should not be greatly affected by the Y2K problem. ? Be-cause of extensive preparation, the effects of the Y2K bug will be minimal on the lives of you and your family."
Perhaps the Navy Department had not yet com-pleted their facility Y2K assessment last February when the ALNAV was promulgated. Now that they understand their Y2K exposure, I wonder when they will let all those sailors and their fami-lies know about the anticipated utility failures? After all, the first line in the above mentioned ALNAV states,
"It is important that we provide our sailors with sound, useful information on the potential impact of Y2K on their personal and professional lives, as well as the lives of their families."
I retired from the Naval Service in 1983 but I still hold a commission as a regular officer. I am still under oath. In "my" Navy, the highest unwrit-ten duty of a Naval Officer was to take care of his people. This bit of traditional wisdom is apparently little practiced today. To each of the Naval and Marine Corps Officers who has had access to the information described herein, I lay down a simple challenge. Live up to this duty. Come forth. Tell us the truth.
4. If we're being lied to about this, how can we believe anything the government tells us about Y2K? How bad is this thing really going to be?
Impact on Military Readiness
These revelations imply a severe effect on military readiness in the United States and at sev-eral important locations overseas. In this country, for example the major Marine Corps bases at Quantico, Virginia and Camp LeJeune, North Carolina are expected to experience utility failures. The latter is of special personal concern-my son and his family are stationed there.
Another essential but not widely appreciated Marine Corps facility is at special risk. The base at Albany, Georgia is the hub of all USMC logis-tics activities. The inability of this base to provide services would pose a devastating threat to the entire US Marine Corps. Albany is one of three unfortunate cities expected to have utility failures in all four areas-electricity, water, gas and sewer.
The US Navy expects serious problems as well. The extensive complex of facilities at their primary east-coast port at Norfolk/Portsmouth, Virginia is projected to be without water or natural gas. The Navy Space Command at Dahlgren, Virginia; is in jeopardy. The Naval Air Stations at North Island, California; Whidby Island, Wash-ington, Cecil Field, Florida; and Pensacola, Florida are at risk. The key submarine bases at Kings Bay, Georgia and New London, Connecticut are on the list. The latter is another of the three state-side locations expected to have failures of all four types of utilities.
The facility at Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania is also of special concern. Much of the US Navy's logistics support is conducted at this base which is expected to see both gas and sewer failures.
Overseas, critical bases at Rota, Spain; Si-gonella and Naples, Italy; (headquarters of the Mediterranean (6th) Fleet); Bahrain; Guam; Puerto Rico; and Okinawa are impacted. Of the ten facilities listed in the United Kingdom, all (mostly in London) were expected to experience failures of all four utilities.
Electric Utility Failures Somebody needs to let the North American Electric Reliability Council (NERC) know about the Navy study. For their benefit and yours, here is a list of 29 electrical utilities the Navy expects to fail. Read over this list carefully. Some of the Navy facilities are quite small but the electric company that provides their service has a very large customer base. If your electrical company is included, you need to raise hell with them and find out if they know how the Navy feels about them.
Electrical Utilities Expected to Fail
Baldwin EMC, Milton FL Bessemer Utilities, Bessemer AL Central Louisiana Electric, Slidell LA City of Albany GA City of Key West FL City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX Clay Electric Cooperative, Jacksonville FL Coastal Electric Members, Jacksonville FL Daviess Martin County Rural Elect, Crane IN Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH El Paso Electric Co., El Paso TX Escambia River Elec Co., Milton FL, Pensacola FL Florida Power and Light, Canaveral FL, Ft Lauderdale FL Florida Power Corp, Clearwater FL Gulf States Utilities, Orange City FL JEA, Atlantic Beach FL, Jacksonville FL Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN Middle Georgia Elec, Hawkinsville GA Mississippi Power and Light, Gulfport MS Northeast Utilities, New London CT Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL Port of Seattle WA Riviera Utilities, Milton FL Sierra Electric Cooperative, Truth or Conseq. NM South Central Power, Columbus OH Southern Pine Elec Coop, Milton FL Southwest Arkansas Electric, Lewisville AR Southwest Louisiana Electric, Broussard LA Southwestern Public Services, Amarillo TX Twin County Electric, Hollandale MS
Gas Company Failures
This is a list of forty gas companies the Navy Department expects to fail. Some of the cities mentioned are quite small but the service area for the utility mentioned has a very large customer base. Check this list carefully to see if your gas company is included.
Gas Utilities Expected to FailAlabama Gas Corp, Bessemer AL Atlanta Gas Light Co., Atlanta GA Baltimore Gas & Electric, Annapolis MD Boston Gas, Weymouth MA City of Albany GA City of Bethlehem PA City of Bossier City LA City of Buffalo, NY City of Great Falls MT City of Pascagoula MS City of Pensacola FL City Public Service Board, San Antonio TX Columbia Gas of Virginia, Portsmouth VA, Quantico VA Dayton Power & Light, Dayton OH Energas Co, Amarillo TX Interenergy Corp, Charleston SC Knoxville Utilities Board, Knoxville TN Louisiana Gas Service, New Orleans LA Mobile Gas Service Corp, Mobile AL Mountaineer Gas, Sugar Grove WV Nashville Gas Service, Nashville TN New Jersey Natural Gas, Earl NJ New York State El, New London CT Niagra Mohawk, Watertown NY NorAm Energy Management, Pensacola FL North Carolina Gas, Morehead City NC Northern Utilities, Portsmouth NH Okaloosa Gas District, Milton FL Orlando Utilities Commission, Orlando FL PECO Energy, Warminster PA Penn Gas & Water, Avoca PA, Williamsport PA Philadelphia Gas, Philadelphia PA Providence Energy, Newport RI PSE&G, Kearney NJ Rochester Gas & Electric, Rochester NY UGI Corp, Mechanicsburg PA United Cities Gas Co, Columbia SC Virginia Natural Gas, Newport News VA, Norfolk VA, Yorktown VA Washington Gas Co., Arlington VA, Bethesda MD, Carderock MD, Lexington Park MD, Washington DC West Florida Natural Gas, Panama City FL
The Y2K Newswire Fact Sheet on the Leaked Navy Documents:
Folks, the Washington spin machine is about to go into "full spin cycle" on these Navy documents. You're going to see the whole thing relentlessly attacked. To get ready for this spin job, prepare yourself with the following facts:
FACT #1: Our government sat on this information and made no effort to make it available to the American people. That's what we mean when we say the information was "kept hidden from the public." It doesn't mean the document had to be stamped "top secret." It just means they HAD the information and they SAT on it. This inaction in inexcusable. In fact, it is negligent.
FACT #2: Just because the documents were buried somewhere on a Navy web site doesn't mean they were easily reachable by the public. For example, Y2K Newswire has many, many documents filed under the main web site but not linked from the main page. Unless you know the FILE NAME of the document, you can't get to it (even though we could still claim they are "publicly available"). That's why these Navy documents stayed secret for so long: nobody knew they were there and the U.S. government sure didn't go out of its way to tell anybody about them!
FACT #3: The Y2K deniers first called this a hoax. But when John Koskinen verified the authenticity of the documents, suddenly the Y2K deniers switched arguments. "Okay, they're real now, but they don't mean anything."
FACT #4: Y2K Deniers are now attacking the report by suggesting -- with no evidence to back this up, by the way -- a worst-case rating was the "default" and that ratings were only eased as information became available. Apparently, they think all utilities should be marked as "compliant" unless they tell you they're not. In this way, Y2K Deniers are assuming, once again, that you should wholeheartedly trust every utility company that issues some kind of rosy-sounding press release (but refuses to document their Y2K compliance status). To Y2K "pollys," no news is good news. NO INFORMATION = FULL COMPLIANCE, apparently.
FACT #5: The U.S. Navy is now engaged in wholesale damage control. Watch for more news announcements denying everything. They'll say things like, "We expect everything to be fine." This is the REACTION to the news, not the news. Of course they have to control the spin on this. All of a sudden, with this story breaking, people are learning the truth about Y2K.
FACT #6: Y2K Newswire does not know the identity of the Navy person who leaked these documents (thank God), but we do know that "heads will roll!" in the search to find the courageous person who leaked it.
FACT #7: The AP did their homework on this story. Two thumbs up to the Associated Press' Ted Bridis who actually did the research and ran with a story that every other news organization would have called "kooky."
[Dan's note: Want to see these documents? So do I. Here's what you can do:] (Sample FOIA Request) Name of Agency
Address of Agency
Re: Freedom of Information Act Request
This is a request under the Freedom of Information Act.
I request that a copy of the following document be provided to me.
"Assessment of the Year 2000 (Y2K) Risk to Utilities at American Military Bases and Facilities," (or a similar title). This document lists military bases and facilities in the United States and foreign countries, the cities in which they are located, and scores the Y2K risk of failures to electrical, water, gas and sewer services at each base. The names of the utility companies providing these services may be included. The document may also be called a "Master Utility List." The document should be available from the Y2K Program Office for your agency.
In order to determine my status to assess fees you should know that I am an individual seeking information for my personal use and not for any commercial purposes.
Thank you for your consideration of this request.
(Send this letter to each of the following agencies:)
Department of the
7798 Cissna Road,
Department of the
Chief of Naval
Department of the
1000 Air Force
Check out more y2k books!:
Home Page: Future, Doomsday, Year2000