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The two cruelest things in this world are politics and religion. 
Dr. V Wirewille PHD 
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On the right we live our religion and practice our politics. 
On the left their religion is their politics. 
Rush Limbaugh.
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It's the soldier not the poet who gives you the freedom of speech.
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"Lord, the money we do spend on government and it's not one bit better than the government we got for one-third the money twenty years ago.
--Will Rogers

Me the Person

Storm Clouds Gathering

As most of you are aware there are currently 9 Democrats vying for the parties nod as a Democratic candidate for the Presidency in 2004.

1. Sen. John Kerry
2. Sen. Howard Dean
3. Sen. Joe Lieberman
4. Rep. Dick Gephardt
5. Sen. John Edwards
6. Sen. Bob Graham
7. Former Sen. Carol Moseley Braun
8. Rep. Dennis Kucinici

9.Rev. Al Sharpton

Sen. Joe Biden has not decided if he is running yet, and the wild card would be Hillary Clinton, and retired Gen. Wesley Clark, who has not announced his candidacy but may run.

Up till this past weekend the candidates had been very civil to each other. However this past weekend Sen. John Kerry’s campaign made the suggestion that the weakest candidates pull out so the main candidates could sure up their bases.

"Party leaders know these under performing candidates are dead men walking. They can't raise money, gain traction or develop compelling messages," a key Kerry campaign strategist said in an interview.

This was bound to happen. Candidates need money and endorsements to gain a lead. Since the only candidate who has any wealth to tap into is John Kerry others are scrambling looking for cash and allies.

All the candidates contend so far that they will be in it for the long haul, the exception being Former Sen. Carol Moseley Braun. It may be that Former Sen. Braun has come to realize that the only reason she was encouraged to run was to be a counterweight in South Carolina where Re. Al Sharpton is expected to do very well among the black voters.

No one will name who they think should drop out but those who are polling in single digits are called dead men (and I suppose women) walking.

It would normally be after Labor Day before anyone would withdraw. By the first of the year the field will most likely dwindle down by at least a few.

Up till now all the criticism had been being leveled at President Bush. Now we have entered a new phase. The criticism has mostly been around our actions in Iraq. This may well be a gamble that will blow up in the face of the Democrats. Consider this: What if we have found but just not announced yet that we have found the Weapons of Mass Destruction. Why you may ask would the administration with hold this information? Well what good would it do to release this information right now? It would have an impact but the election is still over 14 months away. Strategy is the name of the game here how bad did the Democrats look when in 2001 said Bush was doing nothing in a Saturday radio address then the very next day we started bombing the Taliban out of Afghanistan. President Bush may be thought to be dim-witted by those on the left but he has beaten them every time there has been a confrontation.   So when would be the time to release this information? Well if the president was to slip way down in the polls might be a good time, or how about the weekend before the Republican Convention next summer, or just after Labor Day next year when everything will be in full swing?

Now if the economy comes back, as seems to be starting to do, it would be devastating to whoever is running against Pres. Bush.

In California they are having a recall election. I don’t deal with state politics most of the time but California if it was an independent country would be the 6^th largest economy in the world so it impacts the US economy in a very large way. So far the DNC is backing Gov. Davies but if he should appear to be loosing in the recall what do you suppose the Dems. Will do? Dose the name Sen. Toraceli ring any bells? In the wings the Dems have Leon Pinetta, Dian Feinstien, and probably another candidate or two. All you need to run is a $3500 fee. If the Dems loose we won’t hear the end of the whining for years. The economy in Ca. is suffering badly. Many companies are leaving Ca. tiring to find a place to locate where there are less state regulations to comply with where taxes and energy costs are lower. As much as the candidates running for President would like the economy to falter they can’t afford to loose Ca.

The reason Sen. Clinton is a wild card is, she may if her polling indicates it is ripe, come riding in on a white horse to try and save the Dems just before the convention by announcing she will be the candidate and save the country from President Bush.

It is assumed by most, including yours truly, that at some point Hillary will run. The conditions have to be right and her polling would have to indicate that it is now for her to run. The common wisdom is she will wait till 2008. There may be a problem with that; she will have to run for re-election in 2006 for the Senate. She will probably be up against Rudy Guliani. If that happens it will be much closer race than she had against Rick Lasio. If she where to loose to Rudy she would have no momentum going into the election in 2008.

This next 12 months it will be very interesting to see what develops in the wonderful world of Presidential politics.

As Always
Don

webmaster@takingbackamericanewsletter.com