NEWS ANALYSIS BY RAMAN SWAMY ---------------------------------------- NEW DELHI: The second anniversary of the BJP-Akali coalition government in Punjab ought to have been a time for celebrations. Instead, the mood will be one of acrimony and recriminations on Febraury 12, with the BJP wringing its hands in despair at the Badal versus Tohra ego clash which is threatening to wreak unity within the Shiromani Akali Dal. In what has all the elements of a fight to the finish, regardless of consequences, Chief Minister Parkash Singh Badal is locked in one-upmanship with Shiromani Gurdwara Prabandhak Committee (SGPC) President Gurcharan Singh Tohra. And the Akali Dal is split right down the middle, much to the glee of the Opposition Congress party. Two years ago when the Akali Dal-BJP coalition led by Parkash Singh Badal rode to power in Punjab after routing the Congress, a senior Congress leader had predicted that the Akalis would not remain together even for a year. That prediction may have been highly exaggerated. But in the past six months or so, Akali unity is beginning to fall apart. Mainly due to the burning personal ambitions of Badal and Tohra. The unwritten understanding between the two not to violate each other`s space and to consult each other on running their respective affairs, was evidently being breached. Badal has long been suspected of cherishing hopes of emerging as an historic Sikh leader and has been known to nuture his constituency in both party and religious domains. Tohra, on the other hand, has always resented being deprived of real political and administrative power. Despite ruling the roost for more than two decades as the Shriromani Gurudwara Prabandhak Committee (SGPC), the apex body managing Sikh shrines, he has been angling for either chief ministership or at least a major portfolio at the Centre. Since becoming Chief Minister, Badal the politician has been seeking to gain credibility among the Sikh clergy, thereby encroaching into Tohra's home ground. Things came to a head when Badal evolved a strategy to assume an active religious role by setting up the Anandpur Sahib Foundation to act as a nodal agency for holding the tercentenary celebration of the birth of the Khalsa Panth. This effectively relegated Tohra and the SGPC to the background. Tohra retaliated by taking up issues like injustice to the Sikhs living in Udham Singh Nagar district of Uttar Pradesh, suicide by farmers, financial crisis and a non-responsive Akali administration. Tohra`s writ began to run in some disticts like Patiala, Ropar and Fatehgarh Sahib where he managed to get his men appointed in the police and administration. He started running the administration through the backdoor and even began dropping hints that he could get many things done if he became the chief minister. This triggered off rumours that Tohra would soon replace Badal, whose health was said to be failing. The issue came to the surface in November last year soon after the Akali Dal lost the Adampur assembly byelection to the Congress. Tohra thought it an opportune time to cut Badal to size. In an interview to an agency Tohra suggested that Badal should appoint an acting chief of the party to look after the party affairs full time. To buttress his arguments, Tohra opined that he, being busy with other manifold activities, had delegated many of his powers and functions to the Acting SGPC President Sukhdev Singh Bhaur. Similarly, Badal should delegate his party responsibilities to one of his close lieutenants, such as Gurdev Singh Badal, a cabinet minister. This suggestion was taken as an attempt by Tohra to create a divide in the Badal camp and in a counter-attack, Badal supporters condemned Tohra for making such a demand in public. The battle-lines were drawn. In a bid to mount pressure on Badal, five ministers owing allegiance to Tohra submitted their resignations, thinking that the chief minister would be forced to make major concessions in return for withdrawal of the resignation. But instead, Badal acted promptly and forwarded their resignations to the Governor for acceptance the very next day. He also launched a vigorous campaign to mobilise support from SGPC members, party functionaries, MPs and MLAs and district jathedars to marginalise Tohra. To clip Tohra`s wings, Badal targetted the SGPC chief's stronghold districts and transferred all his appointees in the police and civil administration out of Patiala, Ropar and Fatehgarh Sahib. In a decisive follow-up action, he got the Disciplinary Action Committee of the Akali Dal, headed by senior leader Jagdev Singh Talwandi and packed with Badal loyalists, to issue a show cause notice to Tohra as to why action should not be taken against him for breach of party discipline. This put Tohra on the defensive. But he managed to persuade Akal Takht Jathedar, Bhai Ranjit Singh, to come to his rescue by issuing a 'hukumnama` (edict) directing both Tohra and Badal to refrain from the infighting till April 13 when the tercentenary celebrations of the Khalsa panth would begin. But the "hukumnama" became controversial when 131 out of the 185 SGPC members questioned the edict with a charge that Bhai Ranjit Singh had lowered the sanctity of the "hukumnamas" by too frequently resorting to this instrument, more than a dozen in the past year. But the Jathedar has refused to withdraw the "hukumnama" and said that the SGPC members could not go against the Akal Takht as they have pledged to dedicate themselves to the highest temporal seat. To hit at Badal indirectly, the Jathedar has summoned Badal`s close aide Barjinder Singh Hamdard, Rajya Sabha MP and editor of "Ajit", a Punjabi daily, for writing anti-panth stories and for publishing blasphemous extracts from a banned book, Vanity Incarnate, in his daily. Anxious to regain the initiative, Badal organised a joint meeting of SGPC members, party functionaries, MPs, MLAs and district jathedars and, in the presence of Tohra, the meeting "fully authorised" Badal to chalk out the programme for the tercentenary celebrations and to coordinate between the government, the Akali Dal and the SGPC for the purpose. To undermine Tohra further, Badal scrapped the Sikh Gurdwara Judicial Commission of the SGPC to oust Tohra loyalists from the semi-judicial panel formed to resolve gurdwara disputes and appointed his own men on this Commission. Before putting Tohra on the firing line, the Akali Dal suspended a close aide of Tohra and Acting President, SGPC, Sukhdev Singh Bhaur for his anti-party activities. Bhaur had blamed Badal for instigating SGPC members to challenge the December 31 'hukumnama`. The Tohra camp now apprehends that after expelling Tohra from the Akali Dal and the SGPC, the Badal camp plans to remove the Akal Takht Jathedar. The Badal camp is likely to convene a special general house of the SGPC to move a "no confidence motion" against Tohra to expel him from the SGPC and to supersede the December 31 hukumnama. In a counter-offensive, aimed at staging a separate tercentenary celebrations, the Akal Takht has summoned a meeting of Sikh sants and religious organisations to chalk out a programme to hold the celebrations beginning from April 13. The upshot is that there will now be three different tercentenary celebrations, including the one by the Congress. But in the process the shrewd Tohra has succeeded in turning the feud between him and Badal into a tussle between the Akal Takht and the Badal camp. The Akali Dal, clearly, is hurtling towards a raucous round of expulsions and splits. In all this, coalition partner BJP is watching helplessly from the sidelines on the plea that it does not want to interfere in the "internal affairs" of the Akali Dal. But as a consequence, the BJP is fast losing whatever ground it had among urban Hindus. In contrast, the Congress, hoping to bounce back to power, is consolidating its base in urban and rural areas. END. ---------