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Global Warming: Fact or Fiction?

Introduction

Global warming is the buzzword that surrounds virtually all fields of science and technology.  The theory of global warming is based on the belief that average atmospheric temperatures throughout the world have been increasing and will cause major climate change.  The theory is based largely on the release of greenhouse gasses, the majority of which are produced by humans.

The earth is heated by light radiation from the sun.  As happens on most of the planets in our solar system, light energy hits the surface and it is reflected back out into space to leave a natural energy equilibrium.  The earth is different to other planets however because the atmosphere stops a proportion of the energy leaving naturally.  This is done by what are known as greenhouse gasses such as water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, ozone and nitrous oxide.  These gases are present in the atmosphere naturally but since humans first learnt to make fire we have been unbalancing the usual levels.  It is believed that the vast amounts of these gasses that we now produce and release from simple tasks such as driving our cars and heating our homes every day has contributed to a .6˚ increase in atmospheric temperature in the 20th century. 

The main causes of increased greenhouse gas emissions is thought to be the burning of fossil fuels.  Carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide are all released as a result of this process.  Deforestation is also a major factor as trees are a natural filter for removing carbon in the atmosphere.  Methane gas is produced mainly from decay and the increase of cattle farming and human waste products has led to a sharp increase.

Computer models of future climate change show greater increases for this century, with anywhere from 2 to 6˚ increase before the year 2100.  It is believed that the world will suffer from this increase in many more ways than just rising sea levels from the polar ice caps melting.  The natural world would be thrown into disarray with crops failing, species extinction, new and increased diseases, severe storms more frequent and changing ocean currents among many many possibilities. 

Steps have finally been taken in the last decade to attempt to limit and control spiraling greenhouse gas emissions.  The Kyoto protocol, which came into effect in february 2005, is the most notable of these steps.  The agreement was signed by 156 countries and by doing so they have pledged to reduce the total greenhouse emissions by 5% of 1990 levels by 2012.

The important thing to remember about global warming is that it is only a theory.  We know that the earth has undergone climate change in the past and most sceptics believe that current rising temperatures are just the beginning of another cycle in earths history.  This is because although we have much data to support the theory, we have just as much to reject it.  What is for sure is that everything that humans do, no matter how small, has an effect on other parts of our constantly changing environment.