Friday, September 3, 1999

 
 

                                        No peace in Galilee
 

 
                     The residents of the northern border have once again been
                     forced to spend the night in their shelters in the wake of a
                     series of events in southern Lebanon. This time two
                     members of the South Lebanon Army - the
                     Israeli-supported militia - were killed by a bomb planted by
                     Hezbollah, and in reaction the SLA shelled the homes of
                     Lebanese civilians, killing two and wounding seven. This
                     incident came just days after six Lebanese civilians were
                     wounded in a raid by the Israeli air force at the beginning of
                     the week. The deputy secretary-general of Hezbollah, Naim
                     al Kassem, warned that Hezbollah will react to civilian
                     casualties, and that warning was sufficient for the IDF to
                     issue the appropriate order to the residents in the north.
                     The result is that Hezbollah, without making a major effort,
                     is able to bring life in northern Israel to a standstill.

                     The events of this week demonstrate that despite the
                     tremendous effort made not to harm civilians and to limit the
                     pretexts for escalation, it is impossible to avoid inflicting
                     civilian casualties in the Lebanese arena. Two months
                     have gone by since Israel's large-scale attack on
                     infrastructure targets in Lebanon, and once more the IDF
                     finds itself unable to prevent a Hezbollah threat - or its
                     realization. The IDF's problem in Lebanon lies not only in
                     the impossibility of separating military from civilian targets,
                     but also in the excessive independence that the SLA
                     arrogates to itself. This is not the first time the SLA has
                     reacted as it saw fit to an attack on its personnel, dragging
                     the IDF and with it the entire north of the country into a
                     renewed confrontation.

                     It stands to reason that Israel, on the eve of a visit by U.S.
                     Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and ahead of the
                     signing of an agreement with the Palestinians, does not
                     wish to heat up the front in southern Lebanon. The restraint
                     that Hezbollah displayed in the past two months, under
                     Syrian-Lebanese pressure and at American behest,
                     enabled the IDF to continue operating in Lebanon on the
                     basis of the well-known rules of the game, and the
                     government to make decisions without undue pressure.

                     It emerges, however, that the SLA does not always
                     consider itself bound to Israel's political-diplomatic
                     interests, or to the principles which guide the IDF's
                     reactions in Lebanon. The SLA, despite the assistance it
                     provides and the advantages it enjoys, is thereby turning
                     itself into a burden that could trap the Israeli government
                     and the IDF in situations where they will no have control
                     over the outcome. One can understand the blow to morale
                     and the desire for revenge that seizes the SLA when its
                     personnel are killed, but the SLA is not waging an
                     independent war in southern Lebanon, and therefore must
                     not be allowed to set its own rules of behavior at the
                     expense of the well-being of the residents in the north.

                     The declared reason for the war in southern Lebanon is the
                     peace of the Galilee. To date, that war has not produced
                     the desired result. Prime Minister Ehud Barak has made a
                     commitment to remove the IDF from Lebanon by the end of
                     his first year in office, realizing that this move, by
                     dissipating the day-to-day tension, may well bring calm to
                     the border. Assuming that this is indeed Barak's intention, it
                     is not superfluous to ask, against the background of the
                     recent events, whether a year is not too long a period for
                     implementing a wise decision.

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