Battleground
XI
Final / August 24 - 26, 1998
STUDY #7809
THE TARRANCE GROUP / LAKE RESEARCH
PERSONAL / CONFIDENTIAL
N=1,000 Registered "Likely" Voters
Hello, I'm _______________ of The Tarrance Group, a national survey research firm. We're talking to people long distance today about public leaders and issues facing us all. May I please speak with the youngest male in the household who is registered to vote?
| A. | Are you registered to vote in your state? | ||
| IF "NO," ASK: Is there someone else at home who is registered to vote? | |||
| (IF "YES," THEN ASK: MAY I SPEAK WITH HIM / HER?) | |||
| YES | (CONTINUE) | ||
| NO | (THANK AND TERMINATE) | ||
| B. | What is the likelihood of your voting in the upcoming November elections? Are you extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely at all? | ||
(CONTINUE) |
Extremely likely | 65% | |
| Very likely | 25% | ||
| Somewhat likely | 10% | ||
(THANK AND TERMINATE) |
Not very likely | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | |||
| C. | Are you, or is anyone in your household, employed with an advertising agency, newspaper, television or radio station, or political campaign? | ||
| YES | (THANK AND TERMINATE) | ||
| NO | (CONTINUE) | ||
Now, thinking about the November elections --
| D. | On a scale of one to ten, with one meaning NOT AT ALL interested and ten meaning VERY INTERESTED, please tell me how interested you are in this year's elections? (ENTER TWO-DIGIT NUMBER: 01-10) | ||
| Very interested | 43% | ||
| Somewhat interested | 31% | ||
| Not very interested | 20% | ||
| Not at all interested | 7% | ||
Now, thinking for a moment about things in this country --
| 1. | Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? | ||
| IF CHOICE MADE, ASK: And do you feel strongly or somewhat strongly about that? |
Right direction / strongly | 21% | |
| Right direction / somewhat | 22% | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | 12% | ||
| Wrong track / somewhat | 13% | ||
| Wrong track / strongly | 33% | ||
Still thinking about things here in the U.S. --
| 2. | What do you think is the number one problem facing this part of the country today -- that is, what is the problem that you and your family are most concerned about? (DO NOT READ RESPONSES, JUST RECORD) | ||||
| NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: After completion of interview, double-check this question for proper coding. Try to fit "Others" into a pre-existing category. | |||||
| Abortion | * | Jobs | 4% | ||
| Agriculture / farming / ranching | 1% | Job training | * | ||
| AIDS | * | Loss of industry | * | ||
| Auto insurance | * | Medicare / Medicaid | * | ||
| Budget deficit | * | Moral / religious concerns | 13% | ||
| Child care | * | Pensions | * | ||
| Children's issues | 1% | Politicians / incumbents | 2% | ||
| Clinton (President Bill) | 6% | Pollution | * | ||
| College / affording | * | Property taxes | * | ||
| Congress | 1% | Racism | 2% | ||
| Cost of living | 1% | Republicans | * | ||
| Crime | 7% | Retirement | * | ||
| Cuts to government programs | * | Roads / highways | * | ||
| Deficit | * | Schools / school choice | * | ||
| Democrats | 1% | Senior citizens | 1% | ||
| Drugs | 4% | Social Security | 2% | ||
| Economy | 6% | Taxes | 5% | ||
| Education | 7% | Tax increases | 1% | ||
| Environment | 1% | Television / violence & sex | * | ||
| Foreign affairs | 1% | Tobacco | * | ||
| Gangs | * | Trade | * | ||
| Gingrich / Newt | * | Traffic | * | ||
| Government / size / regulation | 1% | Unemployment | 1% | ||
| Government spending | 1% | Unions | * | ||
| Growth / overdevelopment | * | Values | 1% | ||
| Guns | * | Violence | 3% | ||
| Health care (cost / quality of) | 2% | Wages | * | ||
| Health insurance (cost / lack of) | 1% | Welfare (reform) | 1% | ||
| Homeless / poverty | 1% | Water (shortage / quality) | * | ||
| Housing (costs / lack of) | * | OTHER | 10% | ||
| Immigration | 1% | UNSURE | 7% | ||
| Inflation | 1% | ||||
*=less than 0.5%
Now I would like to read you a list of issues that some people from this part of the country have said are important for representatives in Washington to deal with. Please listen as I read the list and tell me which one issue you think is most important. (READ AND ROTATE ISSUES)
| Q3 MOST IMPORTANT |
||||
|
13% | |||
|
8% | |||
|
4% | |||
|
19% | |||
|
9% | |||
|
12% | |||
|
22% | |||
|
12% | |||
|
1% |
Thinking for a moment about Bill Clinton --
| 4. | Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President? | ||
| IF CHOICE MADE, ASK: Would you say you strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)? |
Approve / strongly | 36% | |
| Approve / somewhat | 20% | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | 4% | ||
| Disapprove / somewhat | 7% | ||
| Disapprove / strongly | 34% | ||
Still thinking about Bill Clinton --
| 5. | Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Clinton is handing his job as president, what is your impression of Bill Clinton as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him? | ||
| IF CHOICE MADE, ASK: Would you say you strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)? |
Approve / strongly | 14% | |
| Approve / somewhat | 12% | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | 12% | ||
| Disapprove / somewhat | 14% | ||
| Disapprove / strongly | 48% | ||
(ROTATE Qs 6 & 7)
| 6. | And, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job of dealing with important issues facing the country? | ||
| IF CHOICE MADE, ASK: Would you say you strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)? |
Approve / strongly | 15% | |
| Approve / somewhat | 30% | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | 11% | ||
| Disapprove / somewhat | 20% | ||
| Disapprove / strongly | 24% | ||
| 7. | And, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job of dealing with important issues facing the country? | ||
| IF CHOICE MADE, ASK: Would you say you strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)? |
Approve / strongly | 16% | |
| Approve / somewhat | 32% | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | 11% | ||
| Disapprove / somewhat | 19% | ||
| Disapprove / strongly | 22% | ||
| 8. | And, do you approve or disapprove of the way your Member of Congress is handling his or her job of dealing with important issues facing the country? | ||
| IF CHOICE MADE, ASK: Would you say you strongly or somewhat (approve / disapprove)? |
Approve / strongly | 30% | |
| Approve / somewhat | 40% | ||
| UNSURE (DNR) | 12% | ||
| Disapprove / somewhat | 9% | ||
| Disapprove / strongly | 8% | ||
And, thinking specifically about the 1998 elections for U.S. Congress --
| 9. | If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for: | |||
| (ROTATE) | ||||
|
||||
| OR | ||||
|
||||
| Republican | 40% | |||